PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x08Cda2c59FA7b6F80CbBdb54cF08A695C6A4C2e9-1782355533298

0x08cda2c59fa7b6f80cbbdb54cf08a695c6a4c2e9

Realised P&L
$-85.47
Volume
$710.10
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$7.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · Yes0.6900.800$2.32+$0.32
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · Yes0.5100.455$1.78$0.22
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5300.610$1.15+$0.15
Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? · Yes0.8600.865$1.01+$0.01
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7500.725$0.97$0.03
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.7900.320$0.41$0.59
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? · Yes0.8630.102$0.12$0.88
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? · Yes0.2790.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · JD Gaming0.8730.000$0.00$4.00
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00$2.00
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner · Shopify Rebellion0.4400.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Invictus Gaming0.6700.000$0.00$1.00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$1.00
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 23:08Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?SELL0.009$0.02
09-11 23:08Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?SELL0.001$0.01
09-10 15:53Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?BUY0.5099999516$2.00
09-10 15:19Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
09-10 15:14Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-09 16:53Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.952$2.07
09-03 21:43Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?BUY0.7899999921$1.00
09-03 21:40Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
09-03 16:16Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?BUY0.8629994296$1.00
09-02 19:52Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
09-02 19:38Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?BUY0.859999914$1.00
09-02 19:33Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
09-01 17:35Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?SELL0.95$2.06
09-01 17:23Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
09-01 17:19Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?SELL0.17$0.41