0x08Cda2c59FA7b6F80CbBdb54cF08A695C6A4C2e9-1782355533298
0x08cda2c59fa7b6f80cbbdb54cf08a695c6a4c2e9
- Realised P&L
- $-85.47
- Volume
- $710.10
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $7.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$1.45at 0.554Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.30at 0.701Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$1.25at 0.750Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 23:08 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.02 |
| 09-11 23:08 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-10 15:53 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 15:19 | Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 15:14 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:53 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.952 | $2.07 |
| 09-03 21:43 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 21:40 | Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 16:16 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8629994296 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 19:52 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 19:38 | Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 19:33 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 17:35 | Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $2.06 |
| 09-01 17:23 | Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 17:19 | Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.41 |