chessplayer
0x4b8ae011176b76888949476d7fb7a56985faf4a4
- Realised P&L
- $-16.6k
- Volume
- $6.86M
- Markets traded
- 11,087
- Open portfolio
- $19.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,087
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.158Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.020Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
- +$1.6kat 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$1.6kat 0.205US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.906Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:43 | Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.56 | $7.00 |
| 11-01 17:51 | Will Yum! Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.60 |
| 11-01 17:49 | Will Williams (WMB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 11-01 17:49 | Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 11-01 17:48 | Will Charles River Laboratories (CRL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 17:47 | Will Williams (WMB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.41 | $25.56 |
| 11-01 17:46 | Will Charles River Laboratories (CRL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2371428571 | $16.60 |
| 11-01 17:43 | Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 11-01 17:42 | Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 11-01 17:38 | Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.39 | $35.10 |
| 11-01 17:38 | Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 11-01 15:41 | Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5091454828 | $154.02 |
| 11-01 15:25 | Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 11-01 15:14 | Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |