PolyBot

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Traders

AlvisLi-FutureTopInvestor

0x0cf8ffcfe24ce75324653ab0d747ebd23829180d

Realised P&L
$-386.88
Volume
$18.9k
Markets traded
766
Open portfolio
$99.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded766
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9200.915$24.86−$0.14
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9890.970$24.51−$0.49
Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.9220.769$11.02−$2.18
Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · No0.9990.995$5.28−$0.02
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8100.805$4.97−$0.03
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary? · No0.9980.935$4.69−$0.31
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · Yes0.8050.760$3.78−$0.22
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 18? · Yes0.9900.929$1.88−$0.12
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.9490.960$1.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 18? · No0.9720.980$1.01+$0.01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? · Yes0.9920.991$1.00−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 18? · No0.9930.997$1.00+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 18? · No0.9900.993$1.00+$0.00
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň? · Yes0.9700.968$1.00−$0.00
Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem? · Yes0.9930.975$0.98−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 12:17Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.999$2.48
10-18 12:04Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.8399999518$2.09
10-18 09:38Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 18?BUY0.9899990298$1.00
10-18 09:35Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 18?BUY0.9719999806$1.00
10-18 09:35Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 18?BUY0.993$1.00
10-18 09:34Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 18?BUY0.9899995199$2.00
10-18 09:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 18?SELL0.998$1.82
10-18 09:18Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 18?SELL0.998$4.74
10-18 07:56Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 18?BUY0.9849995513$1.80
10-18 07:54Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 18?SELL0.0065213533$0.12
10-18 07:52Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?SELL0.999$1.01
10-18 07:41US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?BUY0.992$1.00
10-18 07:08Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 18?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
10-18 06:38Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 18?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-18 06:33Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsSELL0.42$2.10