helpinghans
0x69448d9d3ae6c6c62d94ab9c1ea696532fa47275
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $87.2k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $10.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$282.41at 0.263GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$275.25at 0.157China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$245.00at 0.708Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$171.93at 0.761US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
- +$155.76at 0.937Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:20 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.971 | $48.55 |
| 08-01 08:46 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.67 | $134.00 |
| 08-01 08:46 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | BUY | 0.37 | $74.00 |
| 08-01 03:50 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9792048193 | $97.53 |
| 07-31 18:09 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.6797806154 | $441.86 |
| 07-31 13:11 | GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1816666667 | $10.90 |
| 07-31 07:23 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.91895 | $183.79 |
| 07-31 05:20 | GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.890128 | $178.03 |
| 07-31 04:54 | GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3668493151 | $10.71 |
| 07-31 04:54 | GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4316045198 | $30.56 |
| 07-30 16:59 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.3480901673 | $50.34 |
| 07-30 15:11 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.69 | $80.84 |
| 07-30 15:06 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.759445 | $75.94 |
| 07-30 15:06 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.701845 | $140.37 |
| 07-30 14:12 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.17 | $212.01 |