PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

helpinghans

0x69448d9d3ae6c6c62d94ab9c1ea696532fa47275

Realised P&L
$-498.96
Volume
$247.1k
Markets traded
589
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded589
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.8470.971$1.1k+$136.87
Will "Wicker" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.9270.984$698.26+$40.61
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.9550.980$686.00+$17.24
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.7820.870$259.43+$26.10
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.0650.247$247.00+$181.78
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.865$173.00+$23.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8150.409$163.80−$162.20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.4100.635$126.99+$45.00
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9410.540$96.88−$71.86
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · Yes0.4870.780$93.59+$35.20
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.8350.906$90.60+$7.15
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? · No0.5300.875$87.50+$34.50
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.6700.380$76.00−$58.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.7550.865$69.20+$8.80
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.875$43.75+$5.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 06:38Chennai Open, Qualification: Rinko Matsuda vs Momoko KoboriBUY0.56$22.40
10-30 12:56Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.984094$29.52
10-29 13:29Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.98$19.60
10-28 21:01Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.06522114$65.22
10-28 18:25Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.7824816392$233.33
10-28 18:25Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.95561956$477.81
10-28 17:18Will "Wicker" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9335534457$547.69
10-27 18:44ELH: Motor České Budějovice vs. Mountfield HKBUY0.9959217696$818.07
10-27 18:43ELH: Motor České Budějovice vs. Mountfield HKBUY0.9897861383$185.08
10-26 16:10Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.95475$190.95
10-26 10:50Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9867568$98.68
10-26 07:46Courmayeur: Rositsa Dencheva vs Gabriela KnutsonBUY0.614088$61.41
10-25 14:24ELH: HC Kladno vs. VítkoviceBUY0.62$124.00
10-25 12:38Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.987818663$115.70
10-24 14:19Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Elena PridankinaBUY0.54$54.00