PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

helpinghans

0x69448d9d3ae6c6c62d94ab9c1ea696532fa47275

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$87.2k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$10.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.8050.995$3.7k+$699.70
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.7650.981$2.2k+$495.20
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · No0.9660.986$394.40+$8.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.6850.785$313.99+$40.00
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.5750.720$288.00+$58.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · No0.9350.935$248.82$0.01
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.6060.915$228.75+$77.25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9301.000$199.90+$13.90
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · No0.8090.885$194.70+$16.70
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.6430.320$191.99$193.99
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9410.958$171.78+$3.04
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.8250.395$158.00$172.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7600.775$155.00+$3.00
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.6700.745$149.00+$15.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.6570.745$146.21+$17.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 08:20Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.971$48.55
08-01 08:46Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.67$134.00
08-01 08:46Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?BUY0.37$74.00
08-01 03:50Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9792048193$97.53
07-31 18:09Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.6797806154$441.86
07-31 13:11GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL0.1816666667$10.90
07-31 07:23Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.91895$183.79
07-31 05:20GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?BUY0.890128$178.03
07-31 04:54GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL0.3668493151$10.71
07-31 04:54GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL0.4316045198$30.56
07-30 16:59Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.3480901673$50.34
07-30 15:11Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.69$80.84
07-30 15:06Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.759445$75.94
07-30 15:06Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.701845$140.37
07-30 14:12GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.17$212.01