ilovecarrots
0x03e1b2a5d7dc3685e6f6273842a32328d271e180
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $567.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,847
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,847
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.230Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.1kat 0.094Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$875.23at 0.210Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$861.27at 0.320US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
- +$683.79at 0.114Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 19:52 | Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.92 | $18.38 |
| 10-07 19:13 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-07 15:33 | Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | SELL | 0.69 | $6.82 |
| 10-07 13:32 | Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.40 |
| 10-07 10:36 | Will a team from Americas win VALORANT Champions 2026? | SELL | 0.7178125 | $9.19 |
| 10-07 04:48 | Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.02 |
| 10-07 00:24 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | SELL | 0.81 | $145.80 |
| 10-06 13:01 | Will no Atlantic hurricane form in October 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 10-06 07:25 | Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $2.64 |
| 10-05 16:49 | Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11? | SELL | 0.62 | $10.54 |
| 10-05 10:19 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 10-05 08:33 | Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? | SELL | 0.942 | $1.16 |
| 10-05 07:52 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.59 | $23.60 |
| 10-05 05:41 | Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $9.12 |
| 10-05 02:59 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | SELL | 0.719 | $12.05 |