PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SteviaDaddy

0x1cac5c537efec302c6505dd92f907d0193426f43

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$217.5k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$8.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.8360.943$1.9k+$214.81
Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · No0.6110.555$799.76−$80.37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6300.695$695.00+$65.00
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? · No0.9300.954$522.00+$13.13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.6310.735$472.61+$67.09
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes0.4500.395$395.00−$55.00
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · No0.5520.605$370.88+$32.59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2110.145$261.00−$119.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8300.835$250.50+$1.50
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · No0.4890.445$236.49−$23.36
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · Yes0.8000.805$231.84+$1.44
Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? · No0.6310.820$222.28+$51.30
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · No0.8400.966$209.04+$27.17
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · No0.5200.675$201.15+$46.19
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · No0.1890.193$174.65+$2.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 19:58Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?BUY0.9$9.00
10-02 20:40Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?BUY0.120701107$32.71
10-02 17:03Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.64$219.52
09-23 04:30Will Claire Rattée win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?BUY0.895$37.59
09-22 19:12Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$65.82
09-22 19:08Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.5865003453$433.10
09-19 07:23Will Tom Holland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?BUY0.55$11.00
09-19 07:15Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?BUY0.15$3.15
09-19 02:41Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?SELL0.949$189.80
09-19 02:38Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?BUY0.48$9.60
09-19 02:38Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?BUY0.52$10.40
09-18 03:10Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.62$130.20
09-16 16:38Will Tom Holland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?BUY0.35$30.80
09-16 05:40Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?BUY0.1182568807$25.78
09-14 23:20Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2017255449$93.93