PolyBot

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Traders

Rushmore98

0xb323fd58f771c6234e3a62515ca17dd0ca43e19f

Realised P&L
$6.61
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
904
Open portfolio
$63.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded904
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.5400.700$14.27+$3.27
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8600.850$4.94−$0.06
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8800.890$3.03+$0.03
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8260.820$2.98−$0.02
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9200.905$2.95−$0.05
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.7600.745$2.94−$0.06
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.7490.845$2.26+$0.26
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · Yes0.7850.780$1.99−$0.01
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m? · No0.8840.825$1.87−$0.13
Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M? · No0.9000.998$1.11+$0.11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7730.853$1.10+$0.10
Jonathan Majors as Kang? · No0.8400.910$1.08+$0.08
Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7430.804$1.08+$0.08
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No0.7500.805$1.07+$0.07
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? · Yes0.8500.910$1.07+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:51Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?BUY0.92$1.00
11-02 01:50Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
11-02 01:50Will "Musk" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.7$1.00
11-01 18:04Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?BUY0.9009999297$1.00
11-01 18:04Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.7$1.00
11-01 17:58Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.84$1.00
11-01 17:54Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.98$1.00
11-01 17:51Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
11-01 17:47Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.849999915$1.00
11-01 17:26Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.8299999087$1.00
11-01 17:25Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
11-01 17:24Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.849999915$1.00
11-01 17:23Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.91$1.00
11-01 17:21Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
10-29 12:54Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.6469997943$1.00