wpovniweijfowjp
0x1114ad9ae15e644d16420376515f09692361c330
- Realised P&L
- $-336.67
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $155.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.95at 0.310Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$60.18at 0.687Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?
- +$30.62at 0.694Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?
- +$28.05at 0.482Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
- +$26.86at 0.754Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 14:40 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.16375 | $26.20 |
| 10-14 15:04 | Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.197224 | $9.86 |
| 10-14 15:04 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $28.00 |
| 10-14 15:03 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-13 14:26 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 10-13 14:25 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.3428077416 | $96.36 |
| 10-08 15:48 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 10-08 13:19 | Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 10-08 13:19 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 10-08 13:18 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 10-08 13:18 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7463353184 | $81.46 |
| 10-08 13:17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $27.99 |
| 09-23 14:44 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.20 |
| 09-23 14:43 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 09-23 14:43 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |