Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2027-01-01
- Resolves by
- https://agi.safe.ai/
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.19 | 400 | 400 |
| 0.20 | 70 | 470 |
| 0.23 | 20 | 490 |
| 0.29 | 10 | 500 |
| 0.30 | 11 | 511 |
| 0.31 | 100 | 611 |
| 0.34 | 394 | 1,005 |
| 0.45 | 500 | 1,505 |
| 0.47 | 500 | 2,005 |
| 0.60 | 301 | 2,306 |
| 0.74 | 500 | 2,806 |
| 0.79 | 40 | 2,846 |
Spread0.01Mid0.18
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.18 | 85 | 85 |
| 0.17 | 116 | 201 |
| 0.12 | 144 | 345 |
| 0.11 | 114 | 458 |
| 0.10 | 31 | 489 |
| 0.08 | 50 | 539 |
| 0.07 | 20 | 559 |
| 0.06 | 310 | 869 |
| 0.05 | 18 | 887 |
| 0.04 | 30 | 917 |
| 0.03 | 800 | 1,717 |
| 0.02 | 2,120 | 3,837 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | 85 | 85 |
| 0.83 | 116 | 201 |
| 0.88 | 144 | 345 |
| 0.89 | 114 | 458 |
| 0.90 | 31 | 489 |
| 0.92 | 50 | 539 |
| 0.93 | 20 | 559 |
| 0.94 | 310 | 869 |
| 0.95 | 18 | 887 |
| 0.96 | 30 | 917 |
| 0.97 | 800 | 1,717 |
| 0.98 | 2,120 | 3,837 |
Spread0.01Mid0.81
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | 400 | 400 |
| 0.80 | 70 | 470 |
| 0.77 | 20 | 490 |
| 0.71 | 10 | 500 |
| 0.70 | 11 | 511 |
| 0.69 | 100 | 611 |
| 0.66 | 394 | 1,005 |
| 0.55 | 500 | 1,505 |
| 0.53 | 500 | 2,005 |
| 0.40 | 301 | 2,306 |
| 0.26 | 500 | 2,806 |
| 0.21 | 40 | 2,846 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cat6767 | Yes | 996.75 |
| troim | Yes | 600 |
| pragmat1sm | Yes | 540.42 |
| 0xE1C996Ac0edAFc1de0E62f51870031daCaacF778-1774133230457 | Yes | 393.63 |
| Aragorn-II | Yes | 60 |
| winubet | Yes | 40 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| PP55P | Yes | 32.82 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 27.6 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 25 |
| pppnn | Yes | 20.42 |
| AJSV | Yes | 11.22 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 7 |
| oilstud | Yes | 6 |
| 80sdfs | Yes | 3.41 |
| nibblemaxxing | Yes | 1.11 |
| balthazar | No | 1,204.53 |
| frozenriver | No | 640 |
| Olcan | No | 374.25 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 212.88 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:29:16 | SELL | Yes | 0.19 | 20 | $3.88 |
| 16:29:15 | SELL | Yes | 0.19 | 50 | $9.58 |
| 15:32:07 | SELL | No | 0.78 | 20 | $15.60 |
| 15:32:06 | SELL | No | 0.78 | 200 | $156.00 |
| 16:10:24 | BUY | No | 0.77 | 19 | $14.63 |
| 15:39:04 | SELL | No | 0.75 | 20 | $15.00 |
| 15:38:58 | SELL | No | 0.75 | 20 | $15.00 |
| 15:38:57 | BUY | Yes | 0.2020922691 | 191 | $38.64 |
| 12:15:45 | SELL | Yes | 0.19 | 1 | $0.22 |
| 23:57:58 | SELL | Yes | 0.2 | 13 | $2.56 |
| 23:57:55 | SELL | Yes | 0.2260957025 | 33 | $7.42 |
| 23:11:58 | SELL | Yes | 0.23 | 26 | $5.89 |
| 23:11:52 | SELL | Yes | 0.23 | 40 | $9.20 |
| 23:11:51 | SELL | Yes | 0.24 | 56 | $13.44 |
| 23:11:49 | SELL | Yes | 0.24 | 66 | $15.75 |
| 19:45:06 | BUY | No | 0.76 | 200 | $152.00 |
| 14:47:19 | BUY | Yes | 0.22 | 25 | $5.46 |
| 14:47:04 | BUY | Yes | 0.2171673736 | 21 | $4.60 |
| 14:47:03 | BUY | Yes | 0.2 | 47 | $9.44 |
| 08:09:04 | SELL | No | 0.76 | 0 | $0.28 |
| 08:01:55 | SELL | No | 0.77 | 23 | $17.71 |
| 07:01:33 | SELL | Yes | 0.22 | 11 | $2.46 |
| 18:56:09 | BUY | Yes | 0.2051577998 | 277 | $56.88 |
| 18:38:58 | BUY | No | 0.8 | 54 | $43.59 |
| 18:27:03 | SELL | No | 0.766 | 50 | $38.30 |