frozenriver
0x143732d8a06bd1596c694f7873cd493be80aacfe
- Realised P&L
- $36.2k
- Volume
- $14.06M
- Markets traded
- 19,418
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19,418
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.2kat 0.060Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
- +$11.3kat 0.060Ethereum Up or Down on November 5?
- +$7.4kat 0.088Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET
- +$6.8kat 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
- +$6.5kat 0.095Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-30 20:02 | Will BNB reach $800 in May? | BUY | 0.0082717273 | $4.93 |
| 05-30 14:13 | Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31? | BUY | 0.9791823809 | $170.84 |
| 05-29 18:54 | Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31? | BUY | 0.7875897981 | $37.06 |
| 05-28 18:09 | Will "Apartheid" be in the headlines this week? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 05-27 18:30 | Will Claude Code Commits be between 550.0k and 600.0k on June 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.00 |
| 05-26 15:25 | Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games? | BUY | 0.001 | $100.00 |
| 05-13 09:37 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.78 | $33.71 |
| 05-12 17:19 | Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.3 | $23.63 |
| 05-11 14:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $354.01 |
| 05-08 20:28 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.1k |
| 05-08 20:16 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $375.00 |
| 05-04 07:58 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 05-04 07:42 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.102 | $6.29 |
| 04-28 13:34 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $1.5k |
| 04-28 13:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $355.00 |