80sdfs
0xfaa2df1490bcecb7a2a92ea87dab76e36ebc36bb
- Realised P&L
- $-163.64
- Volume
- $105.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,396
- Open portfolio
- $412.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,396
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.65at 0.098Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
- +$19.23at 0.055Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?
- +$15.10at 0.007Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- +$14.57at 0.234Will Luciano do MLB win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?
- +$11.10at 0.052Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 10:10 | Will Rosália Fernandes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-02 01:21 | Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.29 |
| 10-01 16:07 | Will Chiu Chien-fu win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 10-01 09:02 | Will Wilmer Isac Canales Ascona win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 09-30 18:18 | Will Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.27 |
| 09-29 02:20 | Will Lino Alves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-28 14:17 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 09-28 04:53 | Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.36 |
| 09-28 04:53 | Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.35 |
| 09-28 04:53 | Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.17 |
| 09-28 04:53 | Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.14 |
| 09-20 15:19 | Will Du Pereira win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-08 13:13 | Will Tencent be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.13 |
| 09-08 13:13 | Will Tencent be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.31 |
| 09-05 17:26 | Will Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |