PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PP55P

0xf18c3ac5ad26ba302c36882ef530762ce9cd18c1

Realised P&L
$-7.1k
Volume
$348.7k
Markets traded
2,875
Open portfolio
$551.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,875
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? · No0.8800.988$49.38+$5.38
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%? · No0.8300.770$45.29$3.53
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · No0.1700.425$42.50+$25.50
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? · No0.8400.715$35.75$6.25
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? · No0.8400.715$35.75$6.25
Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes? · No0.7900.845$33.95+$2.21
Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · No0.7800.635$31.75$7.25
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026? · No0.8400.783$27.42$1.98
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · No0.8800.730$26.28$5.40
Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.7900.665$24.61$4.63
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft? · No0.6000.465$23.25$6.75
Will Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai win the Falealili 1 by-election? · Yes0.0500.604$22.93+$21.03
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000? · No0.7900.495$21.29$12.69
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4300.300$17.10$7.41
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? · No0.7700.590$15.93$4.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 00:02Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?SELL0.641$22.44
09-10 00:01Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?SELL0.554$27.70
09-10 00:01Will Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?SELL0.737538$36.88
09-10 00:00Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 10?SELL0.5828826923$30.31
09-10 00:00Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?SELL0.11$5.43
09-09 23:59Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?SELL0.902173913$62.25
09-09 23:59Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?SELL0.22$2.64
09-09 23:59Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 11?SELL0.15$0.75
09-09 23:58Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?SELL0.066971831$4.76
09-09 23:58Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?SELL0.1$9.03
09-09 23:57Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?SELL0.2260957025$7.42
09-09 23:56Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?SELL0.85$26.06
09-09 18:11Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 11?SELL0.1338477865$4.41
09-09 17:33Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election?SELL0.19$7.60
09-09 17:07Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 10?SELL0.16$0.54