winubet
0x3a91442a725581d4147d3a34bde3dceb41733428
- Realised P&L
- $-828.39
- Volume
- $19.9k
- Markets traded
- 224
- Open portfolio
- $283.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded224
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.00at 0.700S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 24?
- +$63.59at 0.197Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$58.56at 0.823S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 26?
- +$51.20at 0.360Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?
- +$40.99at 0.897S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 09:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 2? | BUY | 0.87 | $2.61 |
| 08-28 13:22 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 28? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.87 |
| 08-26 13:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 26? | BUY | 0.985 | $49.25 |
| 08-26 10:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 26? | BUY | 0.63 | $66.15 |
| 08-26 10:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 26? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 08-21 09:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 21? | BUY | 0.9 | $195.80 |
| 08-13 07:43 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 08-12 05:52 | Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-11 23:03 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 08-09 06:15 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 08-08 14:29 | Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.63 |
| 08-08 05:34 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 08-05 21:05 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.771 | $38.55 |
| 08-04 13:06 | Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | SELL | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 08-03 23:27 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.53 | $26.50 |