0xE1C996Ac0edAFc1de0E62f51870031daCaacF778-1774133230457
0x837f57c912b2a0a413372b5fa212b1ab34633e41
- Realised P&L
- $-276.71
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $72.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.185 | $72.82 | −$27.18 |
| Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winner · eternal premium | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$174.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 1? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.04at 0.728Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
- +$0.57at 0.206Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 17:30 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $33.74 |
| 09-01 12:22 | Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5158730158 | $50.00 |
| 08-31 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.1178902343 | $50.00 |
| 08-31 17:40 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.40 |
| 08-31 16:12 | Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | BUY | 0.2540469682 | $100.00 |
| 08-31 12:28 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.3096185881 | $140.68 |
| 08-31 12:28 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8630079764 | $146.06 |
| 08-27 18:54 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $121.86 |