PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE1C996Ac0edAFc1de0E62f51870031daCaacF778-1774133230457

0x837f57c912b2a0a413372b5fa212b1ab34633e41

Realised P&L
$-276.71
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$72.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration97.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · Yes0.2540.185$72.82$27.18
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winner · eternal premium0.5160.000$0.00$50.00
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? · No0.2200.000$0.00$174.42
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 1? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 17:30Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?BUY0.1$33.74
09-01 12:22Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.5158730158$50.00
08-31 18:02Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 1?BUY0.1178902343$50.00
08-31 17:40Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?BUY0.2$3.40
08-31 16:12Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?BUY0.2540469682$100.00
08-31 12:28Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?BUY0.3096185881$140.68
08-31 12:28Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.8630079764$146.06
08-27 18:54Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.72$121.86