oilstud
0xf53829c63b3c6d65e4314d53464b13481c097c7c
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $169.81
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$571.44at 0.095Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?
- +$256.80at 0.116China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$180.64at 0.390Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$129.89at 0.084Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?
- +$79.48at 0.438Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 11:13 | Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.89 | $13.35 |
| 09-20 11:12 | Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.0772133333 | $11.58 |
| 09-20 11:11 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $31.83 |
| 09-20 11:11 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.7155555556 | $38.64 |
| 09-20 11:11 | Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.84 | $44.52 |
| 09-20 11:10 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $51.02 |
| 09-20 11:10 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $144.32 |
| 09-20 11:10 | Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.8977426402 | $67.39 |
| 09-20 11:10 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $168.49 |
| 09-01 14:50 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $13.62 |
| 08-26 20:59 | Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 08-18 20:15 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.061 | $6.16 |