PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.041. down 0.026 over the period, from 0.067. Range 0.040 to 0.136. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0604343
0.06189132
0.062649781
0.0631,0001,781
0.065601,841
0.0661782,019
0.1001,0203,039
0.2391493,188
0.240413,229
0.250303,259
0.330223,281
0.410133,294

Spread0.038Mid0.041

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0223636
0.02165101
0.0205106
0.0191,7091,815
0.0065952,410
0.0042412,651
0.0034033,054
0.0023,2676,321
0.00181,48387,804

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9783636
0.97965101
0.9805106
0.9811,7091,815
0.9945952,410
0.9962412,651
0.9974033,054
0.9983,2676,321
0.99981,48387,804

Spread0.038Mid0.959

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9404343
0.93989132
0.938649781
0.9371,0001,781
0.935601,841
0.9341782,019
0.9001,0203,039
0.7611493,188
0.760413,229
0.750303,259
0.670223,281
0.590133,294

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x26572868AdCeE0E5136dC8d33756e9879d0D42E6-1771354638297Yes6,274.92
whumpaYes3,645.09
KTKKYes3,000
TheLightFireYes2,506.71
iuH1398SIYes1,701.21
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710Yes1,091.09
puravidaYes699.74
planktonXDYes549.45
ballboy95Yes436.2
0x0x0101Yes268
willwYes262.65
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04Yes200
FiscalLiberalSocialConservativeYes160
Bond2026Yes156.25
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes149.05
CryptostradamusYes140
carlauchoYes115.2
R-77Yes100
romanew-1-newYes99.83
SiSiYes94.34

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:32:18SELLNo0.9390$0.43
20:09:57SELLYes0.0274$0.11
02:22:53SELLNo0.94534$32.13
22:09:33BUYNo0.91934$31.25
22:09:32BUYNo0.96834$32.90
22:09:23BUYNo0.92934$31.58
16:04:18BUYYes0.05999994617$1.00
07:48:06SELLNo0.9701121905105$101.86
07:47:59SELLNo0.9701177100$97.01
07:47:57SELLYes0.0300641844,461$134.11
07:47:11SELLYes0.0519342806225$11.70
22:45:48SELLNo0.94552403245$42.49
14:11:45SELLNo0.94610$9.52
06:42:39SELLYes0.05334$1.80
18:33:27SELLYes0.05130$1.53
10:35:36BUYNo0.939993927228$26.32
10:35:33BUYNo0.93963$59.15
10:35:30BUYNo0.9472$67.68
10:33:29BUYNo0.94363$59.40
10:24:48BUYNo0.945100$94.49
09:50:11BUYYes0.0899547743115$10.36
06:42:26BUYNo0.94834$32.22
06:42:24BUYNo0.86234$29.31
06:42:23BUYNo0.86255$47.41
06:42:21BUYYes0.13611$1.50