PolyBot

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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.018. up 0.005 over the period, from 0.013. Range 0.009 to 0.206. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0282828
0.0291,0081,037
0.030251,062
0.031251,087
0.032251,112
0.033251,137
0.034251,162
0.035251,187
0.036251,212
0.037251,237
0.038251,262
0.039251,287

Spread0.020Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0081212
0.007143155
0.003300455
0.0026,3556,810
0.00171,54978,359

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9921212
0.993143155
0.997300455
0.9986,3556,810
0.99971,54978,359

Spread0.020Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9722828
0.9711,0081,037
0.970251,062
0.969251,087
0.968251,112
0.967251,137
0.966251,162
0.965251,187
0.964251,212
0.963251,237
0.962251,262
0.961251,287

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
whumpaYes3,645.09
KTKKYes3,000
TheLightFireYes2,506.71
iuH1398SIYes1,701.21
LornaPredictsYes1,200
predictgeekYes728.75
CryptostradamusYes604.76
Terrence1992Yes536.5
ballboy95Yes436.2
xtxpleasecallmeYes421.75
planktonXDYes379.06
xixihaha009Yes326.35
0xE2B44168f9C361a06a64ED3Fe0E858634E883c5A-1764710056110Yes319.41
0x0x0101Yes268
FaucetWikiYes235
ychwuwYes214.14
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04Yes200
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396Yes171.83
FiscalLiberalSocialConservativeYes160
Bond2026Yes156.25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:58:18BUYNo0.99218$17.86
02:42:52SELLNo0.9718$7.34
02:42:52SELLNo0.989$8.76
02:42:48SELLNo0.9816$16.04
02:42:37BUYYes0.0215$0.30
02:42:34BUYNo0.97416$15.94
18:50:01BUYYes0.02822740$1.13
18:28:52BUYYes0.02720$0.54
14:33:13SELLNo0.9735$4.87
05:23:13BUYYes0.027804195651$1.42
05:22:36BUYNo0.97322$21.41
02:13:01BUYYes0.0510$0.50
02:13:01BUYNo0.950$0.10
02:10:31BUYNo0.9526$24.70
00:57:03BUYYes0.39942$16.76
00:57:03BUYYes0.39885$33.83
00:57:03BUYYes0.32455210$3.25
00:57:01BUYYes0.1006818$1.81
19:58:45BUYNo0.9715$4.89
19:58:45BUYNo0.9716$5.70
19:02:48SELLYes0.03240$1.28
17:54:20SELLNo0.6122$1.49
17:52:16SELLYes0.027051643249$1.33
17:50:59SELLNo0.8046544665520$418.59
17:40:53SELLNo0.9485$4.83