PolyBot

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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.006. down 0.017 over the period, from 0.024. Range 0.005 to 0.065. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0091010
0.0143040
0.0152565
0.049139204
0.05013217
0.0525222
0.09550272
0.096149421
0.099100521
0.10013533
0.238100633
0.24041674

Spread0.005Mid0.006

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.004100100
0.003275375
0.0029,80110,176
0.00171,79981,975

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.996100100
0.997275375
0.9989,80110,176
0.99971,79981,975

Spread0.005Mid0.994

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9911010
0.9863040
0.9852565
0.951139204
0.95013217
0.9485222
0.90550272
0.904149421
0.901100521
0.90013533
0.762100633
0.76041674

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
whumpaYes3,645.09
KTKKYes3,000
TheLightFireYes2,506.71
iuH1398SIYes1,701.21
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710Yes1,091.09
LornaPredictsYes925
CryptostradamusYes840.59
planktonXDYes469.3
galhammermanYes441.63
ballboy95Yes436.2
xixihaha009Yes389.22
0xE2B44168f9C361a06a64ED3Fe0E858634E883c5A-1764710056110Yes319.41
0x0x0101Yes268
ychwuwYes214.14
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04Yes200
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396Yes171.83
FiscalLiberalSocialConservativeYes160
Bond2026Yes156.25
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes149.05
kuasuoYes103.1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:36:40BUYYes0.0081879672197$1.61
19:16:43BUYYes0.008245$1.96
13:27:48BUYYes0.008319$2.56
17:29:18BUYYes0.008141$1.13
17:23:42BUYYes0.0073442623153$1.12
17:22:25SELLYes0.0029917355151$0.45
07:14:00BUYYes0.008151$1.21
02:21:58SELLYes0.00421,000$4.20
18:06:39SELLYes0.00234$0.07
18:00:18SELLYes0.00275883782,841$7.84
17:58:43SELLYes0.0266$0.15
10:47:51SELLNo0.9423939261136$128.47
15:00:16SELLYes0.02640$1.04
13:05:40SELLNo0.9725$4.96
13:05:27BUYNo0.97899999965$5.00
19:24:18SELLYes0.0235$0.12
18:36:19SELLNo0.9736033179489$476.54
16:54:21SELLNo0.9755$4.98
16:53:21BUYNo0.97799999775$5.00
10:17:54SELLYes0.020548279263$5.40
18:54:28BUYYes0.02577$1.92
16:46:58SELLYes0.0250773009218$5.46
11:54:57BUYNo0.975$5.33
04:39:34SELLNo0.9665$4.72
04:39:16BUYNo0.96699999375$4.73