predictgeek
0x21ff16230285273f6097846437b46d35e97f5e2a
- Realised P&L
- $-9.7k
- Volume
- $5.58M
- Markets traded
- 951
- Open portfolio
- $13.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded951
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.6kat 0.460Eagles vs. Bills
- +$16.8kat 0.001EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$15.2kat 0.005Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$15.2kat 0.005Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
- +$10.2kat 0.390Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:33 | Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $7.05 |
| 09-16 19:50 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $15.68 |
| 09-16 19:27 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September? | BUY | 0.01 | $4.97 |
| 09-16 16:37 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September? | BUY | 0.8568458333 | $61.69 |
| 09-16 12:39 | Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.0936574074 | $30.34 |
| 09-16 10:47 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.2738071066 | $53.94 |
| 09-16 09:22 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | SELL | 0.2348387097 | $14.56 |
| 09-16 08:52 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | SELL | 0.2514893617 | $11.82 |
| 09-16 08:27 | Will Solana reach $110 in September? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.89 |
| 09-16 08:14 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.035 | $3.08 |
| 09-16 04:58 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in September? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.21 |
| 09-16 02:54 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September? | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 09-16 00:51 | MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.64349975 | $25.74 |
| 09-15 19:15 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $165.48 |
| 09-15 18:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | SELL | 0.63 | $4.41 |