95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04
0x95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04
- Realised P&L
- $170.4k
- Volume
- $60.66M
- Markets traded
- 3,711
- Open portfolio
- $382.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,711
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.7kat 0.769Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$50.2kat 0.749Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$25.7kat 0.002US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
- +$25.3kat 0.832Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?
- +$13.6kat 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 06:56 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.8500429159 | $140.63 |
| 08-13 05:32 | Will Dusan Vlahovic join Bayern Munich? | BUY | 0.999 | $174.60 |
| 08-13 05:31 | Will Dusan Vlahovic join Chelsea? | BUY | 0.999 | $185.81 |
| 08-13 05:31 | Will Dusan Vlahovic join Napoli? | BUY | 0.9989689441 | $160.83 |
| 08-13 01:13 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $42.54 |
| 08-12 06:37 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.5k |
| 08-11 08:43 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 08-07 10:08 | Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.9899401556 | $827.10 |
| 08-07 10:08 | Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 08-06 03:51 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 5? | BUY | 0.967 | $4.83 |
| 08-05 12:11 | Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.62 |
| 08-05 06:11 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.9965316647 | $20.2k |
| 08-04 16:01 | Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.9865863088 | $40.07 |
| 08-04 16:00 | Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.9843288302 | $228.79 |
| 08-04 16:00 | Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.9721111111 | $43.74 |