0xE2B44168f9C361a06a64ED3Fe0E858634E883c5A-1764710056110
0xe2b44168f9c361a06a64ed3fe0e858634e883c5a
- Realised P&L
- $9.1k
- Volume
- $730.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,435
- Open portfolio
- $18.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,435
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.130Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 England?
- +$1.7kat 0.089Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$1.5kat 0.110Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt?
- +$973.04at 0.014USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$959.68at 0.662GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 11:06 | Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 08-02 11:06 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 07:57 | Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8594677038 | $127.07 |
| 08-02 07:51 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.8670895776 | $117.22 |
| 08-02 07:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1302603003 | $17.61 |
| 08-02 07:49 | Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.5526126603 | $27.15 |
| 08-02 07:49 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.44 | $21.62 |
| 08-02 07:48 | Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $15.47 |
| 08-02 07:46 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.69 | $57.70 |
| 08-02 07:45 | Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $22.40 |
| 08-02 07:45 | Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $4.50 |
| 08-02 07:12 | Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 07:11 | Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 08-02 07:11 | Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | BUY | 0.85 | $114.75 |