PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xE2B44168f9C361a06a64ED3Fe0E858634E883c5A-1764710056110

0xe2b44168f9c361a06a64ed3fe0e858634e883c5a

Realised P&L
$9.1k
Volume
$730.9k
Markets traded
1,435
Open portfolio
$18.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,435
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.3180.535$2.6k+$1.1k
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6730.775$747.34+$98.27
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.5130.415$723.39$171.14
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? · No0.8230.895$502.99+$40.28
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8880.895$465.29+$3.78
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9270.929$421.77+$0.84
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9580.960$367.59+$0.57
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.9350.969$339.15+$11.90
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9430.947$295.46+$1.30
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.4470.720$292.31+$111.01
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8060.830$284.48+$8.27
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.4370.570$282.60+$65.75
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · Yes0.4010.645$277.35+$104.95
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? · Yes0.8100.920$275.98+$33.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7730.810$273.77+$12.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 11:10Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.001$0.02
08-02 11:06Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.87$87.00
08-02 11:06Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$9.00
08-02 07:57Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.8594677038$127.07
08-02 07:51Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.8670895776$117.22
08-02 07:51Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.1302603003$17.61
08-02 07:49Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.5526126603$27.15
08-02 07:49Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.44$21.62
08-02 07:48Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.91$15.47
08-02 07:46Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.69$57.70
08-02 07:45Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.32$22.40
08-02 07:45Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.33$4.50
08-02 07:12Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee?BUY0.25$25.00
08-02 07:11Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee?BUY0.7$70.00
08-02 07:11Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?BUY0.85$114.75