0xE2B44168f9C361a06a64ED3Fe0E858634E883c5A-1764710056110
0xe2b44168f9c361a06a64ed3fe0e858634e883c5a
- Realised P&L
- $10.5k
- Volume
- $795.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,681
- Open portfolio
- $20.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,681
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.490Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$1.7kat 0.133Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 England?
- +$1.7kat 0.092Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$1.5kat 0.113Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt?
- +$1.1kat 0.673GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:52 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.169 | $9.12 |
| 09-17 14:52 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.847 | $45.71 |
| 09-17 14:51 | StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.24 | $8.25 |
| 09-17 14:50 | Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $30.61 |
| 09-17 14:49 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2570588235 | $21.85 |
| 09-17 14:49 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8347058824 | $70.95 |
| 09-17 14:27 | Will Garry Carpenter win the next Central Coast mayoral election? | BUY | 0.33 | $8.58 |
| 09-17 14:27 | Will Garry Carpenter win the next Central Coast mayoral election? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-17 14:26 | Will Garry Carpenter win the next Central Coast mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2686956522 | $18.54 |
| 09-17 14:26 | Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 09-17 14:08 | Will Garry Carpenter win the next Central Coast mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3341666667 | $8.02 |
| 09-17 14:08 | Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5841666667 | $14.02 |
| 09-17 13:27 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.56 |
| 09-17 13:25 | StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2104761905 | $22.10 |
| 09-17 13:25 | Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $73.50 |