iuH1398SI
0x44b70f740651c1eb1a9829b35440aea0e28b2e99
- Realised P&L
- $-13.3k
- Volume
- $963.1k
- Markets traded
- 615
- Open portfolio
- $31.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded615
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.236Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$1.8kat 0.667Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21?
- +$1.7kat 0.552Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?
- +$1.3kat 0.643Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$1.2kat 0.772Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 06:41 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 06:10 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.55 |
| 09-14 06:09 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 01:06 | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $4.86 |
| 09-14 01:06 | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $9.58 |
| 09-14 01:06 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 01:02 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 01:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.09 |
| 09-14 00:49 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-14 00:19 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 06:55 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 09-10 06:03 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.42 |
| 09-10 05:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 04:51 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $29.99 |
| 09-10 03:54 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.22 | $5.69 |