PolyBot

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Traders

iuH1398SI

0x44b70f740651c1eb1a9829b35440aea0e28b2e99

Realised P&L
$-13.3k
Volume
$963.1k
Markets traded
615
Open portfolio
$31.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded615
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8080.920$4.9k+$594.74
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.3821.000$3.2k+$2.0k
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9610.990$3.1k+$87.39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8410.835$2.9k$20.96
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8570.954$2.5k+$248.99
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8520.725$1.6k$288.41
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4710.841$1.3k+$550.49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.045$1.0k$1.0k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.9100.945$944.53+$34.98
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8800.895$716.00+$12.00
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.033$675.34+$205.46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8700.895$671.25+$18.75
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8620.870$527.65+$4.90
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5120.525$439.58+$10.76
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.855$427.50$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 06:41Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.08$5.00
09-14 06:10US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.1$4.55
09-14 06:09US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.12$5.00
09-14 01:06Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?BUY0.73$4.86
09-14 01:06Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?BUY0.72$9.58
09-14 01:06Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?BUY0.85$5.00
09-14 01:02Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.13$5.00
09-14 01:01Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.2$5.09
09-14 00:49Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.95$19.00
09-14 00:19Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.83$5.00
09-10 06:55Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.57$57.00
09-10 06:03Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?SELL0.25$2.42
09-10 05:33Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.28$5.00
09-10 04:51US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$29.99
09-10 03:54LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.22$5.69