Cryptostradamus
0x6553cf9121a1d5b79cef6615b4ded6311ae335e2
- Realised P&L
- $212.59
- Volume
- $29.0k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $125.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.16at 0.107Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
- +$23.82at 0.239US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$22.50at 0.100US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
- +$17.57at 0.051Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$15.06at 0.110Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.21 |
| 10-30 22:45 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 10-28 10:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 10-20 12:13 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-17 03:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-05 21:35 | New pandemic before 2028? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 07:43 | New pandemic before 2028? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 01:12 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-29 11:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 09-23 03:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 03:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.0439999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 21:31 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 96.50 in September? | SELL | 0.0302299118 | $0.65 |
| 09-16 21:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.97 |
| 09-16 06:05 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.63 |
| 09-13 01:53 | Trump out as President by September 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |