PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Cryptostradamus

0x6553cf9121a1d5b79cef6615b4ded6311ae335e2

Realised P&L
$121.14
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$127.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1520.215$46.44+$13.59
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0720.065$33.80$3.76
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0030.004$8.75+$0.81
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes0.1960.145$5.80$2.05
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0500.041$5.74$1.31
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0440.038$5.00$0.71
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.004$4.00+$1.50
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0260.030$3.52+$0.50
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0040.004$3.15$0.15
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.0920.085$2.13$0.18
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1030.068$1.96$1.04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0350.036$1.62+$0.05
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes0.0640.060$1.50$0.10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1220.055$1.10$1.35
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes0.1100.055$1.05$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 07:04New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$3.20
07-27 02:36Trump out as President by July 31?SELL0.003$0.30
07-25 04:47Trump out as President by July 31?SELL0.003$2.10
07-24 07:34New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-24 04:13Trump out as President by July 31?SELL0.003$0.60
07-23 04:19Trump out as President by July 31?SELL0.004$0.40
07-22 22:53Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.34$2.38
07-22 22:52Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.27$5.40
07-19 12:06New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
07-16 01:40New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-03 21:30Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
06-30 15:32Iran full airspace closure by July 15?BUY0.1099999521$2.00
06-29 22:21Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.034$1.46
06-28 01:37Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
06-27 12:52Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?BUY0.059999946$1.00