PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cryptostradamus

0x6553cf9121a1d5b79cef6615b4ded6311ae335e2

Realised P&L
$212.59
Volume
$29.0k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$125.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1520.165$33.00+$2.58
New pandemic before 2028? · Yes0.1510.130$18.85−$3.00
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0630.019$13.30−$30.55
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0150.018$10.89+$1.94
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$10.57−$4.88
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes0.1060.051$10.10−$11.06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · No0.2440.220$5.50−$0.60
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0590.035$4.97−$3.29
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$4.35−$0.89
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$2.60−$2.09
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.0890.055$1.65−$1.01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.2600.305$1.52+$0.23
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$1.46+$0.05
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1030.042$1.21−$1.79
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · No0.0570.011$0.88−$3.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:46Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?SELL0.002$0.21
10-30 22:45NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?BUY0.09$1.80
10-28 10:14US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.27$1.35
10-20 12:13US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?BUY0.23$1.15
10-17 03:19US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.23$1.15
10-05 21:35New pandemic before 2028?BUY0.2$1.00
10-05 07:43New pandemic before 2028?BUY0.2$3.00
10-01 01:12NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.12$1.20
09-29 11:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.16$1.12
09-23 03:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-23 03:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.0439999995$1.00
09-16 21:31Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 96.50 in September?SELL0.0302299118$0.65
09-16 21:00S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?SELL0.999$4.97
09-16 06:05Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?SELL0.021$0.63
09-13 01:53Trump out as President by September 30?SELL0.01$0.20