PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cryptostradamus

0x6553cf9121a1d5b79cef6615b4ded6311ae335e2

Realised P&L
$133.26
Volume
$27.4k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$121.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1520.165$35.64+$2.79
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0680.055$33.00$7.90
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes0.1780.145$8.70$2.01
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0600.055$7.15$0.65
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$6.60+$0.63
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0160.006$5.46$8.33
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$3.52$11.93
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.004$3.00+$1.80
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1150.135$2.70+$0.41
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.0890.085$2.55$0.11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1180.065$2.27$1.85
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.2600.275$1.38+$0.07
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0350.029$1.33$0.24
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$1.30$3.39
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.00 in September? · Yes0.0920.038$0.96$1.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:31Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 96.50 in September?SELL0.0302299118$0.65
09-16 21:00S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?SELL0.999$4.97
09-16 06:05Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?SELL0.021$0.63
09-13 01:53Trump out as President by September 30?SELL0.01$0.20
09-11 11:34NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?BUY0.14$1.87
09-11 03:25Trump out as President by September 30?SELL0.009$0.36
09-10 13:12Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.00 in September?SELL0.12$0.96
09-07 11:05Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.06$1.20
09-07 05:38Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.06$1.20
09-07 02:55Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.06$2.40
09-06 04:57US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.26$1.30
09-05 22:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.26$1.30
09-05 21:36Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.06$3.00
09-05 03:38Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.69$3.45
09-05 03:37Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.69$3.45