0x0x0101
0x7d281a861ea44c2b2a1b45a79fe4288a46476d7a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $80.5k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $113.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.085 | $42.67 | −$173.19 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.257 | 0.067 | $22.51 | −$63.79 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.038 | $22.14 | −$92.86 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.055 | $5.40 | −$7.40 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.130 | 0.105 | $5.14 | −$1.22 |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.034 | $3.69 | −$18.04 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.376 | 0.038 | $3.62 | −$31.72 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.065 | $2.91 | −$10.52 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.014 | $2.73 | −$87.02 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.006 | $1.61 | −$51.71 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.018 | $0.46 | −$4.79 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.004 | $0.19 | −$8.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$744.38at 0.256LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
- +$736.27at 0.290GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$461.00at 0.296New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$428.10at 0.539Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 25?
- +$329.06at 0.424Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 06:05 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 06-10 06:04 | Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | SELL | 0.0422852941 | $0.72 |
| 06-10 06:04 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.50 |
| 06-10 06:03 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.06 |
| 06-10 06:03 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.84 |
| 06-02 12:32 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $89.75 |
| 05-21 02:49 | Spurs vs. Thunder | SELL | 0.11 | $0.88 |
| 05-21 02:49 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.11 | $0.97 |
| 05-21 02:48 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.11 | $0.88 |
| 05-20 03:42 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.08 |
| 05-20 03:40 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.97 |
| 05-20 03:40 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.94 |
| 05-20 00:05 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.32 | $24.32 |
| 05-20 00:03 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.33 | $25.17 |
| 05-20 00:03 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.33 | $25.17 |