PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

FiscalLiberalSocialConservative

0xf22e73273a79788adcee6fa41c76f729fccf18f2

Realised P&L
$977.79
Volume
$86.8k
Markets traded
192
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded192
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.6160.625$294.60+$4.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5800.585$278.57+$2.38
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.9610.989$277.55+$7.77
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2730.278$224.54+$3.71
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7340.855$210.86+$29.85
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6700.675$172.38+$1.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.225$166.23$3.69
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3681.000$160.98+$101.71
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9140.999$154.96+$13.13
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3800.410$120.07+$8.79
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.5020.275$115.60$95.62
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4100.455$110.93+$10.97
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6400.665$105.94+$3.98
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? · No0.9770.990$98.89+$1.30
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.6300.625$90.51$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 06:41Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.06$1.78
08-04 05:36Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.15$1.20
08-04 05:34Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.122$4.62
08-04 05:31Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.1096365151$4.61
08-04 05:30Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.148$1.35
08-04 05:30Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.148$1.01
08-04 04:16Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.003$24.00
08-04 02:54Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.09$0.58
08-04 02:49Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.1$5.55
08-04 02:49Iran full airspace closure by August 15?SELL0.14$4.66
08-04 02:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.12$4.62
08-04 02:01Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.1$0.94
08-04 01:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.43$35.05
08-04 01:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.58$276.18
08-04 01:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.24$24.59