FiscalLiberalSocialConservative
0xf22e73273a79788adcee6fa41c76f729fccf18f2
- Realised P&L
- $977.79
- Volume
- $86.8k
- Markets traded
- 192
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded192
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$412.55at 0.279Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$242.43at 0.573Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
- +$209.92at 0.490UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)
- +$198.66at 0.410US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$90.97at 0.111Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:41 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.78 |
| 08-04 05:36 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 05:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.122 | $4.62 |
| 08-04 05:31 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1096365151 | $4.61 |
| 08-04 05:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.148 | $1.35 |
| 08-04 05:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.148 | $1.01 |
| 08-04 04:16 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.003 | $24.00 |
| 08-04 02:54 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.58 |
| 08-04 02:49 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.55 |
| 08-04 02:49 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.66 |
| 08-04 02:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.62 |
| 08-04 02:01 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.94 |
| 08-04 01:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $35.05 |
| 08-04 01:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $276.18 |
| 08-04 01:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.59 |