PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FiscalLiberalSocialConservative

0xf22e73273a79788adcee6fa41c76f729fccf18f2

Realised P&L
$959.31
Volume
$194.0k
Markets traded
381
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded381
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.945$325.85+$25.86
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.745$262.94$37.06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8800.895$221.20+$3.71
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.6300.860$211.41+$56.54
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8160.921$210.24+$24.00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4740.715$167.74+$56.45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2730.162$130.68$90.15
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3800.410$120.07+$8.79
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2290.145$118.03$68.26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.775$104.64+$0.68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? · No0.3400.350$86.40+$2.47
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.2100.233$62.46+$6.15
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.5800.545$48.44$3.11
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.9400.997$45.62+$2.59
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · No0.8900.915$43.20+$1.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 20:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.09$4.09
08-26 19:54Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?BUY0.89$15.25
08-26 19:29Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.48$79.45
08-26 19:29Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.47$116.04
08-26 18:22Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$3.92
08-26 17:12Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$38.79
08-26 15:54Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.77$103.97
08-26 15:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.12$5.00
08-26 15:23Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.26$5.00
08-26 15:13Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.49$4.99
08-26 15:13Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$2.75
08-26 15:13Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$3.75
08-26 15:13Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$49.00
08-26 14:54Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.49$4.99
08-26 14:54Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$5.00