PolyBot

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Traders

FiscalLiberalSocialConservative

0xf22e73273a79788adcee6fa41c76f729fccf18f2

Realised P&L
$647.61
Volume
$198.9k
Markets traded
381
Open portfolio
$17.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded381
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before GTA VI? · Yes0.3450.500$10.00+$3.10
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0330.018$2.88−$2.40
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0810.026$1.64−$3.36
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028? · No0.9100.940$1.22+$0.04
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1600.033$1.03−$3.97
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0380.032$0.36−$0.07
Theo James announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0520.001$0.28−$14.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Up0.0630.000$0.00−$3.48
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$4.02
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.0560.000$0.00−$5.06
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3810.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00−$20.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 26 and 27 million views on day 3? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$5.47
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2430.000$0.00−$19.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 07:06Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.45$40.00
10-15 07:06Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.46$20.33
10-15 07:06Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?SELL0.89$15.25
10-15 07:06Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$15.76
10-15 07:06Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.85$10.60
10-15 07:06Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.36$5.90
10-15 07:06Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.23$16.40
10-15 07:06Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.61$3.05
08-26 20:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.09$4.09
08-26 19:54Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?BUY0.89$15.25
08-26 19:29Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.48$79.45
08-26 19:29Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.47$116.04
08-26 18:22Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$3.92
08-26 17:12Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$38.79
08-26 15:54Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.77$103.97