PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ychwuw

0xe8fd2fe69c68bb5caf60a2d846a821cc13b3f411

Realised P&L
$675.21
Volume
$69.8k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$481.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · No0.9620.985$352.77+$8.24
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? · No0.9720.983$124.18+$1.27
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0230.024$3.39+$0.07
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0270.007$1.50$4.28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$100.20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$66.60
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$54.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$51.60
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$48.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$20.40
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$32.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 18:22Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?BUY0.9724221853$122.90
08-10 18:07Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?BUY0.962$52.08
08-10 18:07Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?BUY0.027$1.46
08-10 18:05Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?BUY0.027$4.32
08-10 18:04Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?BUY0.023$0.01
08-10 18:04Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?BUY0.962$153.92
08-10 18:01Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?BUY0.023$3.31
08-10 18:01Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?BUY0.962$138.53
06-25 03:19Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?SELL0.999$149.85
06-25 03:17Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 25?SELL0.999$1.9k
06-25 01:59Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?BUY0.999$149.85
06-24 23:22Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.999$49.95
06-24 23:22Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.999$228.87
06-24 23:21Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.999$5.00
06-24 23:21Will the announcers say "Hattrick” or “Hat Trick" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.999$120.67