Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.031. down 0.141 over the period, from 0.172. Range 0.021 to 0.172. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.040	30	30
0.041	57	87
0.042	750	837
0.046	254	1,091
0.047	410	1,501
0.048	837	2,338
0.049	1,050	3,388
0.050	1,474	4,862
0.051	2,606	7,468
0.053	50	7,518
0.054	262	7,780
0.056	140	7,920

Spread0.018Mid0.031

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.022	46	46
0.021	685	731
0.020	450	1,181
0.019	25	1,206
0.015	325	1,531
0.014	115	1,646
0.012	735	2,381
0.011	561	2,942
0.010	50	2,992
0.007	62	3,054
0.006	504	3,558
0.005	679	4,237

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.978	46	46
0.979	685	731
0.980	450	1,181
0.981	25	1,206
0.985	325	1,531
0.986	115	1,646
0.988	735	2,381
0.989	561	2,942
0.990	50	2,992
0.993	62	3,054
0.994	504	3,558
0.995	679	4,237

Spread0.018Mid0.969

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.960	30	30
0.959	57	87
0.958	750	837
0.954	254	1,091
0.953	410	1,501
0.952	837	2,338
0.951	1,050	3,388
0.950	1,474	4,862
0.949	2,606	7,468
0.947	50	7,518
0.946	262	7,780
0.944	140	7,920

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	2,000
0xAC382928a693C9C342c92feD3552E260aaCfC565-1767706089048	Yes	629
singaporesling	Yes	626.53
Dr.PNL	Yes	576.54
HerrieDavis	Yes	323.92
rocky42014	Yes	239.34
Bikesarethebest	Yes	236.42
Leclerc04	Yes	211.89
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	139.01
tradetosurvive1	Yes	120.39
planktonXD	Yes	116.99
matbobpol	Yes	100
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192	Yes	90
AJSV	Yes	71.4
2B9S	Yes	67.32
0xee67…67a6	Yes	51.97
0x888888888	Yes	50
napamen	Yes	50
icariam06	Yes	50
gavinfunda	Yes	50

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:02:06	SELL	No	0.966	1	$1.11
15:02:05	SELL	No	0.9785774974	346	$338.16
14:35:24	BUY	Yes	0.021	15	$0.31
14:32:48	SELL	Yes	0.021	37	$0.78
13:11:15	BUY	No	0.9765384615	65	$63.47
12:19:29	SELL	Yes	0.027	21	$0.57
12:19:29	SELL	Yes	0.031	24	$0.73
09:21:22	SELL	Yes	0.031	56	$1.74
07:57:30	BUY	No	0.9689999998	45	$43.65
04:54:28	SELL	Yes	0.031	50	$1.55
04:26:43	SELL	Yes	0.032	59	$1.89
04:15:43	SELL	Yes	0.031	162	$5.03
04:15:36	SELL	Yes	0.031	61	$1.89
04:15:34	SELL	Yes	0.031	50	$1.55
04:15:33	SELL	Yes	0.031	50	$1.55
04:15:33	SELL	Yes	0.031	50	$1.55
04:15:30	SELL	Yes	0.031	300	$9.30
04:15:30	SELL	Yes	0.031	100	$3.10
04:15:30	SELL	Yes	0.031	50	$1.55
04:15:30	SELL	Yes	0.031	50	$1.55
04:15:27	SELL	Yes	0.031	50	$1.55
04:15:27	SELL	Yes	0.031	50	$1.55
04:15:27	SELL	Yes	0.031	700	$21.70
04:15:27	SELL	Yes	0.031	50	$1.55
04:15:25	SELL	Yes	0.031	50	$1.55