Leclerc04
0x38cf9743eb70188664d388d84d4aa4c6f40fd885
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $234.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,600
- Open portfolio
- $23.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,600
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.073Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?
- +$754.52at 0.381Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$588.27at 0.289Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?
- +$559.96at 0.725Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 6?
- +$531.28at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:31 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $55.28 |
| 10-10 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.74 | $24.79 |
| 10-10 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.84 | $24.99 |
| 10-10 17:48 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.808 | $24.24 |
| 10-10 17:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3999848467 | $1.1k |
| 10-10 17:08 | Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $25.20 |
| 10-10 15:39 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0500094553 | $5.08 |
| 10-10 14:59 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.222 | $24.42 |
| 10-10 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.56 | $7.69 |
| 10-10 13:59 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2 | $261.16 |
| 10-10 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.85 | $53.11 |
| 10-10 11:52 | Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31? | BUY | 0.891 | $15.17 |
| 10-10 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 10-10 10:16 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.1k |
| 10-10 09:55 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.5 | $55.66 |