PolyBot

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Traders

gavinfunda

0xb92449f0f035e2e9de00f1f9a8f19e0158af0803

Realised P&L
$-16.7k
Volume
$2.21M
Markets traded
7,451
Open portfolio
$6.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,451
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9530.963$96.25+$0.95
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9740.959$95.85$1.55
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.9370.948$94.75+$1.05
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · No0.9440.915$91.50$2.90
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.9260.938$88.73+$1.09
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.8190.823$82.25+$0.35
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.8060.814$81.40+$0.80
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? · Over0.8400.810$81.00$3.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7100.720$72.00+$1.00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7560.675$67.55$8.05
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? · No0.9830.969$58.54$0.88
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? · No0.9041.000$50.00+$4.80
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? · No0.8201.000$50.00+$9.00
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.4201.000$50.00+$29.00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · No0.9680.942$47.10$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:22Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 17?SELL0.999$19.98
09-17 17:22Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 17?SELL0.999$19.10
09-17 16:14Will Genie Erokhina / Emma Nelson advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?SELL0.99$19.80
09-17 15:53Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 17?SELL0.42$0.73
09-17 15:53Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 17?SELL0.999$1.96
09-17 15:53Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17?SELL0.999$2.00
09-17 15:53Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 17?SELL0.999$2.09
09-17 15:53Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?SELL0.33$0.71
09-17 15:53Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 17?SELL0.999$2.27
09-17 15:53Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 17?SELL0.999$2.39
09-17 15:53Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18?SELL0.54$1.58
09-17 15:53Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 17?SELL0.999$3.56
09-17 15:53Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 17?SELL0.999$3.85
09-17 15:53Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 17?SELL0.999$4.05
09-17 15:53Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or below on September 17?SELL0.999$4.98