gavinfunda
0xb92449f0f035e2e9de00f1f9a8f19e0158af0803
- Realised P&L
- $-16.7k
- Volume
- $2.21M
- Markets traded
- 7,451
- Open portfolio
- $6.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,451
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.72at 0.988Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$66.66at 0.093Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$63.60at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 11?
- +$47.00at 0.060Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros
- +$44.93at 0.335Knicks vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:22 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-17 17:22 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.10 |
| 09-17 16:14 | Will Genie Erokhina / Emma Nelson advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-17 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.73 |
| 09-17 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.96 |
| 09-17 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 15:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.09 |
| 09-17 15:53 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.71 |
| 09-17 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.27 |
| 09-17 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.39 |
| 09-17 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.58 |
| 09-17 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.56 |
| 09-17 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.85 |
| 09-17 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.05 |
| 09-17 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or below on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.98 |