PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-02-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.701. Unchanged over the period, from 0.701. Range 0.701 to 0.701. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.701482482
0.70420502
0.72120522
0.73620542
0.81985627
0.820112739
0.82145784
0.83950834
0.84020854
0.84750904
0.8961001,004
0.897301,034

Spread0.001Mid0.700

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.700434434
0.68463497
0.68020517
0.66620537
0.25020557
0.24932589
0.24350639
0.20420659
0.10020679
0.04920699
0.0087707
0.0078715

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.300434434
0.31663497
0.32020517
0.33420537
0.75020557
0.75132589
0.75750639
0.79620659
0.90020679
0.95120699
0.9927707
0.9938715

Spread0.001Mid0.299

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.299482482
0.29620502
0.27920522
0.26420542
0.18185627
0.180112739
0.17945784
0.16150834
0.16020854
0.15350904
0.1041001,004
0.103301,034

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
notlosecryptoYes1,566.27
R0ontYes516.84
MCGAAAAAYes99.99
NoSteinNoGateYes99.45
GuyFromTinderYes69.38
0x3a9d…f332Yes61.01
tryrktryYes50
tinman2Yes50
Hugin-og-MuninYes48
0xA875e02EE4aF0C0c05b87864cB6Dfa762CFa9F99-1770197149244Yes43.29
hp210210Yes38.58
suke1Yes26.97
Specialist200303Yes20.5
coldhotYes19.99
J2kewellunitedYes15.08
dsfd3Yes10
densoYes5
mustbethewaterYes4.81
Mojito9Yes4.74
61sfdsYes3.12

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:41:56SELLYes0.715$10.66
01:05:17SELLNo0.29920$5.98
22:36:56SELLNo0.2995$1.47
17:04:51BUYYes0.70120$14.02
17:04:51SELLNo0.29936$10.84
19:51:09SELLNo0.29920$5.98
08:20:15SELLNo0.29920$5.99
06:44:02SELLNo0.29940$11.96
20:33:55BUYNo0.266902194852$13.86
17:42:59SELLNo0.2592$22.93
16:55:08SELLNo0.2530$7.50
16:53:27SELLNo0.250264270638$9.47
16:43:03SELLNo0.1877$1.23
16:43:01SELLNo0.19366$12.79
16:43:00SELLYes0.8063$2.42
16:43:00SELLNo0.1945$1.00
16:42:55SELLNo0.4026693946558$224.86
18:08:40SELLYes0.58168$97.44
08:14:12BUYNo0.38799997846$2.23
08:14:12BUYNo0.37799998476$2.18
08:14:10SELLYes0.62220$12.44
08:10:06SELLYes0.62226$16.03
02:14:11SELLYes0.62220$12.44
23:31:57SELLYes0.6341$25.83
23:31:22SELLYes0.6520$13.00