PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.168. up 0.074 over the period, from 0.094. Range 0.090 to 0.331. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1773434
0.17890124
0.189175299
0.19350349
0.19921370
0.27225395
0.279230625
0.398200825
0.42540865
0.4268873
0.49545918
0.49620938

Spread0.019Mid0.167

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1582828
0.154146174
0.14420194
0.139100294
0.13350344
0.100200544
0.08664608
0.08420628
0.078200828
0.020110938
0.0191841,122
0.01471,128

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8422828
0.846146174
0.85620194
0.861100294
0.86750344
0.900200544
0.91464608
0.91620628
0.922200828
0.980110938
0.9811841,122
0.98671,128

Spread0.019Mid0.833

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8233434
0.82290124
0.811175299
0.80750349
0.80121370
0.72825395
0.721230625
0.602200825
0.57540865
0.5748873
0.50545918
0.50420938

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
R0ontYes783.08
NoSteinNoGateYes176.8
OklmntraderYes175
pootytherewardfarmerYes100
AJSVYes58.7
Hugin-og-MuninYes48
planktonXDYes34.28
Numitus1994Yes21
billygodYes21
SlackjawYes20
coldhotYes19.99
PPMTYes10
61sfdsYes9.36
Petty.BourgeoiseYes5.71
densoYes5
mustbethewaterYes4.81
Mojito9Yes4.74
0xa5ef…2966No769.99
Dr.PNLNo405.31
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495No148

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:36:21BUYYes0.15220$3.04
06:30:30BUYYes0.17499987756$1.00
03:08:51SELLYes0.14640$5.84
22:58:47BUYYes0.18220$3.64
16:37:12SELLYes0.16450$8.20
16:34:29SELLYes0.17730$5.31
16:34:23SELLYes0.17730$5.31
16:28:14SELLYes0.16753$8.85
16:22:02SELLYes0.18583$15.36
12:28:38BUYYes0.14450$7.20
12:25:32BUYYes0.1404577563979$137.52
09:50:29BUYYes0.13520$2.70
05:25:41BUYNo0.936999999860$56.40
05:25:15SELLYes0.063634816815$0.97
05:25:14SELLYes0.24619220$4.92
05:25:11SELLYes0.2630$0.00
05:24:59SELLYes0.2720$5.40
05:24:59SELLYes0.26860393657$15.29
05:24:59SELLYes0.2757060262180$49.59
05:24:59BUYNo0.71999989719$6.16
05:24:56BUYNo0.72150$36.05
05:24:56BUYNo0.7217$4.98
05:24:56SELLYes0.27920$5.58
05:24:56SELLYes0.27920$5.58
05:24:56SELLYes0.2820$5.60