PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

61sfds

0xe20afab92a813e87a5e54b5afeca24e6d77bd74f

Realised P&L
$13.70
Volume
$64.8k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$39.51

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.2850.495$6.84+$2.90
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? · Yes0.4091.000$5.02+$2.97
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026? · No0.2701.000$5.00+$3.65
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? · No0.3410.338$4.67$0.05
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? · Yes0.2610.662$3.31+$2.01
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? · Yes0.3340.814$2.36+$1.39
Will Hurupay launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5300.500$2.07$0.12
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$1.93$1.93
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · No0.5470.230$1.76$2.43
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0290.021$1.13$0.41
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? · No0.4300.520$1.07+$0.19
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000? · Yes0.0120.084$1.01+$0.86
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $10,000 on the final trading day of December 2026? · No0.0650.495$0.60+$0.53
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes0.2760.401$0.52+$0.16
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.40$0.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 18:14Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.031$0.99
08-14 11:54Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?SELL0.517$4.58
08-12 03:59Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?SELL0.39$4.17
08-11 07:27Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.023$0.21
08-08 03:10Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?SELL0.297$2.68
08-07 16:14Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?SELL0.251$1.85
08-07 04:35Will Kanye West perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?SELL0.014$0.63
08-05 17:27Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?SELL0.032$0.55
08-05 17:27Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?SELL0.43$5.29
07-30 19:34Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?SELL0.369$4.61
07-30 14:20Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?SELL0.019$0.14
07-30 14:15Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?SELL0.019$0.17
07-20 08:38Will Nico Echavarria win the 2026 TOUR Championship?SELL0.001$0.02
07-20 00:35Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$0.62
07-17 21:15Will Eminem be the third most streamed artist for 2026?SELL0.005$0.12