suke1
0x4635b404222e9de369c6e3be00c41bd673000f98
- Realised P&L
- $-21.24
- Volume
- $980.99
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $30.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.701 | $18.89 | +$13.89 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.049 | $6.07 | −$11.69 |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.185 | $5.15 | −$1.81 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 30? · Yes | 0.432 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? · No | 0.406 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.31at 0.269Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
- +$19.40at 0.460Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
- +$6.55at 0.036Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
- +$6.46at 0.165Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 15:17 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999921 | $24.19 |
| 09-06 15:16 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.59 |
| 09-06 15:14 | Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? | SELL | 0.52 | $9.75 |
| 09-06 15:01 | Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? | SELL | 0.192 | $8.46 |
| 08-29 12:56 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.406015415 | $27.40 |
| 08-29 10:47 | Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? | BUY | 0.0340422547 | $1.50 |
| 08-29 10:46 | Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? | BUY | 0.25 | $6.96 |
| 08-29 10:29 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999944 | $19.00 |
| 08-29 10:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 30? | BUY | 0.4317252516 | $15.00 |
| 08-29 06:10 | Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $40.00 |
| 08-05 18:20 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:14 | Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 18:05 | Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? | BUY | 0.185401498 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:01 | Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |