suke1
0x4635b404222e9de369c6e3be00c41bd673000f98
- Realised P&L
- $20.59
- Volume
- $433.55
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $38.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.445 | $19.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.210 | $5.53 | +$0.53 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.165 | $5.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.172 | $4.64 | −$0.36 |
| Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? · Anduril | 0.160 | 0.180 | $3.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.47at 0.269Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:20 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:14 | Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 18:05 | Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? | BUY | 0.185401498 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:01 | Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 17:03 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.873 | $32.48 |
| 04-18 16:35 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2689999869 | $10.01 |
| 04-18 16:11 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.2146340809 | $2.00 |
| 04-16 23:14 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |