0x73a6FAaeCc9bf2687475CFF07407b0d092eed207-1772780100231
0x73a6faaecc9bf2687475cff07407b0d092eed207
- Realised P&L
- $-135.37
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $44.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.73at 0.440Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.64at 0.438Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$4.29at 0.700Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.60at 0.793Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.78at 0.180Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 03:05 | Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 08:26 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? | BUY | 0.1089999906 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 03:59 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0420000002 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 03:57 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 12:10 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.993 | $22.64 |
| 06-14 13:34 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.164 | $18.22 |
| 06-11 15:48 | Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 15:42 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.4384811015 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 14:20 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1119999904 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 06:05 | Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0222222222 | $20.00 |
| 05-30 05:52 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0429999979 | $20.00 |
| 05-22 10:46 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 05-21 11:26 | Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 11:22 | Will Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7069767421 | $50.00 |
| 03-06 08:02 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |