denso
0xae486cc49c1ac829a1d088aa0d3e543ac822afbe
- Realised P&L
- $23.96
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,751
- Open portfolio
- $975.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,751
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.14at 0.025Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$100.81at 0.040Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$94.54at 0.054Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$59.02at 0.016Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
- +$53.77at 0.022Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 11-02 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 11-02 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.982375 | $19.65 |
| 11-02 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 11-02 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9894 | $49.47 |
| 11-01 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 11-01 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 11-01 19:54 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 11-01 16:50 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 11-01 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.986666 | $19.73 |
| 11-01 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9789999907 | $49.00 |
| 11-01 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9789998537 | $4.90 |
| 11-01 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 11-01 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 11-01 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |