Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2025-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.06. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.06 to 0.07. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	1,368	1,368
0.07	16,739	18,106
0.08	8,043	26,150
0.09	2,728	28,878
0.10	1,207	30,085
0.11	3,370	33,454
0.12	3,000	36,454
0.14	711	37,165
0.15	2,100	39,265
0.16	119	39,384
0.17	2,000	41,384
0.19	2,000	43,384

Spread0.01Mid0.06

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.05	22,554	22,554
0.04	30,486	53,040
0.03	11,699	64,739
0.02	25,129	89,868
0.01	2,734	92,602

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.95	22,554	22,554
0.96	30,486	53,040
0.97	11,699	64,739
0.98	25,129	89,868
0.99	2,734	92,602

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	1,368	1,368
0.93	16,739	18,106
0.92	8,043	26,150
0.91	2,728	28,878
0.90	1,207	30,085
0.89	3,370	33,454
0.88	3,000	36,454
0.86	711	37,165
0.85	2,100	39,265
0.84	119	39,384
0.83	2,000	41,384
0.81	2,000	43,384

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
vsesoso	Yes	64,799.77
whysoslow	Yes	28,382.38
gatorr	Yes	21,000
cataction	Yes	10,999.96
EternalDecay	Yes	10,387.52
UniversalCarrier	Yes	9,105.39
meagainsttheworld	Yes	8,653.37
0x63767Dc16D7703f58B486Da998567c1693A3F5A1-1774313888289	Yes	7,328.78
knrad	Yes	3,455.08
lorasw	Yes	2,857
e.tensor	Yes	2,709.98
0xA4C8e06a8aaAa459D22158640915761e091BB0ec-1770985522535	Yes	2,000.01
Poopek	Yes	1,950
NoSteinNoGate	Yes	1,823.38
oovoov	Yes	1,819.93
petryshakm	Yes	1,679.45
Dimir	Yes	1,333.33
Esipovich	Yes	1,100
Odinsdottir	Yes	1,000.15
0x869Aa17ACb1Fb23CAC2e4ccaed589AE3aD82bd64-1774802364653	Yes	1,000

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:31:11	SELL	Yes	0.05	11	$0.57
12:31:08	SELL	Yes	0.06	622	$37.32
04:30:31	BUY	No	0.94	320	$300.79
19:49:57	BUY	Yes	0.06	1,166	$69.95
19:49:46	BUY	Yes	0.06	3,000	$180.00
19:18:40	BUY	Yes	0.06	617	$37.00
18:06:04	BUY	Yes	0.06	667	$40.00
05:12:34	SELL	Yes	0.05	14	$0.71
04:53:30	BUY	Yes	0.0599999999	167	$10.00
15:31:40	SELL	Yes	0.05	18	$0.91
19:42:00	BUY	Yes	0.06	18	$1.09
16:38:24	SELL	No	0.94	5	$4.99
15:47:24	SELL	No	0.94	3	$2.79
10:26:13	BUY	Yes	0.07	1,100	$77.00
08:43:00	SELL	No	0.94	50	$47.00
20:02:34	BUY	Yes	0.07	5	$0.35
19:17:30	BUY	Yes	0.07	1,429	$100.00
19:01:45	BUY	Yes	0.06	5	$0.31
16:36:58	BUY	Yes	0.06	5	$0.30
16:01:40	BUY	Yes	0.07	5	$0.35
08:18:46	BUY	No	0.9420238837	106	$100.00
08:18:42	BUY	No	0.9399999996	106	$100.00
21:46:25	SELL	No	0.93	5	$4.65
09:44:19	BUY	No	0.94	5	$4.70
09:44:16	BUY	No	0.94	157	$147.58