0x869Aa17ACb1Fb23CAC2e4ccaed589AE3aD82bd64-1774802364653
0x869aa17acb1fb23cac2e4ccaed589ae3ad82bd64
- Realised P&L
- $-340.79
- Volume
- $73.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $754.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.287Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.64at 0.064Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
- +$-3.06at 0.009Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
- +$-22.22at 0.162Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-36.61at 0.112Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 19:15 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.126 | $77.78 |
| 07-05 17:23 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0339999996 | $75.00 |
| 07-05 17:22 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.071 | $63.39 |
| 07-04 02:52 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 07-04 02:48 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999989 | $75.00 |
| 07-04 02:42 | Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0623856167 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 01:13 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $50.00 |
| 06-14 20:45 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.0743722978 | $60.00 |
| 06-14 17:26 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0579999994 | $100.00 |
| 06-07 03:27 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0119999997 | $35.36 |
| 06-07 03:27 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0119999995 | $25.00 |
| 06-07 03:26 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1619999988 | $100.00 |
| 06-07 03:26 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1619999988 | $100.00 |
| 06-07 03:25 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1119999991 | $100.00 |
| 06-07 03:25 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1009999992 | $100.00 |