PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x869Aa17ACb1Fb23CAC2e4ccaed589AE3aD82bd64-1774802364653

0x869aa17acb1fb23cac2e4ccaed589ae3ad82bd64

Realised P&L
$-340.79
Volume
$73.0k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$754.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.029$135.71+$35.72
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0240.025$105.41+$5.41
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$70.83$4.17
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.065$65.00$5.00
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0180.021$59.44+$9.45
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2200.115$52.19$47.81
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0620.030$48.89$51.11
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0240.011$48.32$51.68
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0160.015$46.88$3.13
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2530.065$45.66$132.34
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.004$35.00$65.00
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.005$25.00$25.00
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.003$15.63$34.38
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$100.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$60.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 19:15Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.126$77.78
07-05 17:23Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0339999996$75.00
07-05 17:22Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.071$63.39
07-04 02:52Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$70.00
07-04 02:48Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.0899999989$75.00
07-04 02:42Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0623856167$100.00
07-04 01:13Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3399999967$50.00
06-14 20:45Israel closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.0743722978$60.00
06-14 17:26Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0579999994$100.00
06-07 03:27Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0119999997$35.36
06-07 03:27Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0119999995$25.00
06-07 03:26Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1619999988$100.00
06-07 03:26Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1619999988$100.00
06-07 03:25Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1119999991$100.00
06-07 03:25Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1009999992$100.00