vsesoso
0x07ce43b9f06bbc9f334d892587f65630b34bf696
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $121.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.055 | $3.6k | −$523.39 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.053 | $1.5k | −$340.06 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.055 | $638.00 | −$400.93 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.055 | $345.40 | −$126.79 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.004 | $45.00 | −$353.21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Up | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.46at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:59 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $450.00 |
| 07-26 12:04 | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 07-26 12:01 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $144.00 |
| 07-20 04:39 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $180.00 |
| 07-20 04:33 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $180.00 |
| 07-20 04:14 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $120.00 |
| 07-17 16:38 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $35.00 |
| 07-17 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $5.55 |
| 07-17 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 14:31 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $126.00 |
| 07-17 13:51 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0422349136 | $92.92 |
| 07-16 19:31 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $105.00 |
| 07-16 19:15 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $175.00 |
| 07-16 17:22 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $12.90 |
| 07-16 17:14 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $90.00 |