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meagainsttheworld

0x9592adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b8

Realised P&L
$144.8k
Volume
$17.46M
Markets traded
1,304
Open portfolio
$78.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,304
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1610.175$38.2k+$3.0k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.0670.065$13.6k−$518.06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3500.640$5.8k+$2.6k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1090.165$4.2k+$1.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.3290.475$4.2k+$1.3k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.5560.630$3.8k+$444.25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.4140.475$3.2k+$405.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.2810.335$777.34+$126.19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · No0.2940.265$491.83−$53.36
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · No0.2400.065$357.53−$963.59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2050.011$334.67−$5.9k
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0820.035$307.19−$400.18
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0900.040$280.00−$350.00
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? · Yes0.5750.350$238.80−$153.20
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · Yes0.0600.056$238.57−$17.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 17:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.4436005135$1.4k
10-31 17:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.6032219367$2.4k
10-31 17:15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.17$1.7k
10-31 16:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.37$212.75
10-30 18:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.54$45.31
10-30 00:14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.17$1.2k
10-28 20:07Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.0333471865$94.37
10-28 20:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?SELL0.69$118.68
10-28 20:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?SELL0.931$3.6k
10-28 19:43US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.49$313.43
10-28 19:43US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.63$308.07
10-28 17:58Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?SELL0.004$20.73
10-27 22:25Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.38$26.22
10-27 20:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?BUY0.01$4.20
10-27 20:44US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.07$280.00
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