meagainsttheworld
0x9592adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b8
- Realised P&L
- $67.8k
- Volume
- $10.35M
- Markets traded
- 861
- Open portfolio
- $93.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded861
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.3kat 0.898US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$22.4kat 0.465Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$12.8kat 0.264Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$11.7kat 0.634Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
- +$9.3kat 0.327Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:39 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.2696840021 | $510.78 |
| 08-02 22:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $347.24 |
| 08-02 21:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $126.44 |
| 08-02 21:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 21:50 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.284030303 | $28.12 |
| 08-02 21:46 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $340.00 |
| 08-02 21:46 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $109.00 |
| 08-02 21:46 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.28477926 | $142.39 |
| 08-02 21:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $742.35 |
| 08-02 21:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.017002998 | $85.01 |
| 08-02 21:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $258.67 |
| 08-02 21:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2132599087 | $12.00 |
| 08-02 21:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.20584753 | $205.85 |
| 08-02 21:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $375.00 |
| 08-02 21:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.5k |