PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x63767Dc16D7703f58B486Da998567c1693A3F5A1-1774313888289

0x63767dc16d7703f58b486da998567c1693a3f5a1

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$75.3k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$403.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0710.055$403.08$115.91
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva · Marta Kostyuk0.5540.000$0.00$2.5k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.9390.000$0.00$4.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 18:17Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0708167222$519.00
06-02 18:01Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaBUY0.5540751634$2.5k
05-01 17:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999999$2.1k
05-01 17:17Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?BUY0.9393258909$4.0k
04-23 18:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.93$5.6k
04-23 18:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?SELL0.995$5.6k
04-22 21:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?BUY0.9769278281$5.5k
04-22 21:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?SELL0.998$5.5k
04-21 19:23US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.9599492643$5.3k
04-20 13:50US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?SELL0.78$5.3k
04-20 12:48US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.84$5.7k
04-14 16:20Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?BUY0.9829980838$5.6k
04-01 13:18Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.7540698857$3.1k
03-26 12:51Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.6699999998$1.0k
03-24 12:43US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?BUY0.9665510385$3.0k