0xA4C8e06a8aaAa459D22158640915761e091BB0ec-1770985522535
0xa4c8e06a8aaaa459d22158640915761e091bb0ec
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $116.7k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $169.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$489.31at 0.029Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$246.36at 0.032Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$-10.00at 0.067US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
- +$-10.00at 0.007US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
- +$-10.17at 0.080US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 22:43 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $21.00 |
| 10-21 19:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0083675775 | $21.92 |
| 10-20 16:43 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0259045521 | $67.85 |
| 10-15 11:47 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $58.97 |
| 10-15 11:40 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0603947982 | $336.70 |
| 10-06 16:55 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $35.00 |
| 10-06 16:31 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0473235175 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 20:30 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $669.00 |
| 09-28 13:09 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.038 | $19.00 |
| 09-28 06:14 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0049032185 | $18.89 |
| 09-04 19:33 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0661759741 | $98.00 |
| 09-03 16:33 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $160.00 |
| 09-03 16:25 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0565192342 | $134.00 |
| 08-27 09:19 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0167262426 | $35.44 |
| 08-27 09:19 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $83.14 |