PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xA4C8e06a8aaAa459D22158640915761e091BB0ec-1770985522535

0xa4c8e06a8aaaa459d22158640915761e091bb0ec

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$116.7k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$169.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.035$71.00−$89.00
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0470.034$70.79−$29.21
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1000.095$19.95−$1.05
NATO dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0700.021$7.50−$17.50
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$15.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$101.72
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$133.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$7.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$31.91
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$16.00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$33.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$66.16
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$23.00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 22:43Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1$21.00
10-21 19:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0083675775$21.92
10-20 16:43Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0259045521$67.85
10-15 11:47Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.037$58.97
10-15 11:40NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0603947982$336.70
10-06 16:55Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.032$35.00
10-06 16:31Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0473235175$100.00
10-01 20:30NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.12$669.00
09-28 13:09Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.038$19.00
09-28 06:14Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0049032185$18.89
09-04 19:33Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0661759741$98.00
09-03 16:33Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$160.00
09-03 16:25Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0565192342$134.00
08-27 09:19Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0167262426$35.44
08-27 09:19Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$83.14