PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Poopek

0x8b2df62a3a0d675053cfc671f72ac059851f67b3

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$94.1k
Markets traded
181
Open portfolio
$756.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded181
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2960.260$418.60−$57.39
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0640.055$107.25−$17.25
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.7540.735$100.17−$2.67
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0800.065$45.50−$10.50
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? · No0.8800.865$43.25−$0.75
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3130.265$34.64−$6.28
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? · Yes0.3270.025$7.56−$89.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.5580.000$0.00−$107.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00−$4.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Up0.6220.000$0.00−$7.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 17:20Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.35$10.50
09-26 17:19Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.34$2.25
09-26 17:18Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2993752656$28.18
09-26 11:09Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.92$46.00
09-26 11:09Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?BUY0.88$44.00
09-26 11:03Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 26?BUY0.98$148.11
09-24 08:56Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.69$64.17
09-24 08:55Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.68$20.40
09-24 08:43Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.87$43.50
09-21 20:25Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.329$74.35
09-21 20:24Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.327$2.15
09-21 20:24Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.324$7.09
09-21 20:23Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.317$2.52
09-21 20:23Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.315$10.75
09-21 12:54Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.38$4.29