PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Dimir

0xe38f7f250fecd2ec2577309ae7be8b498f53d33e

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$119.4k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$478.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)15.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1130.055$302.64$320.15
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? · Yes0.1330.070$102.69$92.31
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$73.33$6.67
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$125.58
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times May 30–June 6? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$36.93
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$84.64
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1? · Yes0.2030.000$0.00$769.99
Will England beat Senegal? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00$93.39
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$45.78
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$204.53
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 2? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00$367.25
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$108.99
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$4.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 20:22Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$217.78
07-19 22:24Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?BUY0.1235271746$75.00
07-19 22:24Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999992$100.00
07-19 22:24Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0599999993$80.00
07-19 21:57Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.93$830.28
07-07 23:24Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.05$4.18
07-01 20:02Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.23$125.58
06-27 02:03Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.3699999994$204.53
06-27 02:02Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?SELL0.999$208.87
06-27 00:01Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 3 Spain?BUY0.0606874337$45.78
06-27 00:00Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.5699999967$50.00
06-26 19:17Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.04$24.64
06-26 14:28Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.5799999977$70.39
06-26 14:27Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.2$60.00
06-12 11:15Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1049999993$130.00