PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cataction

0xf74de633b4fc74db6a8e82c367d4e789dc08280c

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$50.6k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$880.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0540.055$605.00+$5.03
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.275$275.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-03 09:49MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.004$5.00
01-02 17:49Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.001$5.00
10-09 13:41Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? BUY0.8299999996$999.00
09-27 18:51Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?BUY0.051719254$251.83
09-11 17:36Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?BUY0.0599798639$499.14