PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

petryshakm

0xd4536649ebaa5f9a77ad3d54ef5827c5aa191f27

Realised P&L
$-216.93
Volume
$13.9k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$536.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.085$212.50$37.50
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0870.065$109.16$37.26
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0980.085$75.17$11.37
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.9100.900$39.56$0.44
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? · No0.9100.930$30.66+$0.66
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.085$27.05$7.95
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0500.025$24.50$25.50
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.011$17.60$32.40
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 14:06Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$70.60
07-23 14:06US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?SELL0.91$30.33
07-23 14:06Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?SELL0.979490076$39.97
07-08 21:38Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.1$27.63
07-08 21:37Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?BUY0.9099999994$30.00
07-08 21:29Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.909999995$40.00
07-08 21:29Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.98$40.00
07-07 20:57Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.0968922442$58.91
07-07 20:56Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0605126151$58.91
07-07 20:48Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0892261371$34.59
07-07 20:47Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$34.59
07-07 20:45Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8999999897$34.99
07-07 20:45Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999973$35.00
07-07 20:40US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.899999976$30.00
07-07 20:38Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0704002247$83.26