Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2025-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.06. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.06 to 0.07. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	5,406	5,406
0.07	12,322	17,728
0.08	8,443	26,171
0.09	3,228	29,399
0.10	3,193	32,592
0.11	1,122	33,714
0.12	3,000	36,714
0.14	711	37,425
0.15	7,100	44,525
0.16	119	44,644
0.17	2,000	46,644
0.19	2,000	48,644

Spread0.01Mid0.06

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.05	22,348	22,348
0.04	31,384	53,732
0.03	6,051	59,783
0.02	25,127	84,910
0.01	2,731	87,641

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.95	22,348	22,348
0.96	31,384	53,732
0.97	6,051	59,783
0.98	25,127	84,910
0.99	2,731	87,641

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	5,406	5,406
0.93	12,322	17,728
0.92	8,443	26,171
0.91	3,228	29,399
0.90	3,193	32,592
0.89	1,122	33,714
0.88	3,000	36,714
0.86	711	37,425
0.85	7,100	44,525
0.84	119	44,644
0.83	2,000	46,644
0.81	2,000	48,644

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
vsesoso	Yes	64,799.77
whysoslow	Yes	28,371.07
gatorr	Yes	21,000
cataction	Yes	10,999.96
EternalDecay	Yes	10,387.52
meagainsttheworld	Yes	8,653.37
0x63767Dc16D7703f58B486Da998567c1693A3F5A1-1774313888289	Yes	7,328.78
UniversalCarrier	Yes	4,939.49
knrad	Yes	3,455.08
lorasw	Yes	2,857
e.tensor	Yes	2,709.98
NoSteinNoGate	Yes	2,445.37
0xA4C8e06a8aaAa459D22158640915761e091BB0ec-1770985522535	Yes	2,000.01
Poopek	Yes	1,950
oovoov	Yes	1,819.93
petryshakm	Yes	1,679.45
Dimir	Yes	1,333.33
Esipovich	Yes	1,100
Odinsdottir	Yes	1,000.15
0x869Aa17ACb1Fb23CAC2e4ccaed589AE3aD82bd64-1774802364653	Yes	1,000

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:12:34	SELL	Yes	0.05	14	$0.71
04:53:30	BUY	Yes	0.0599999999	167	$10.00
15:31:40	SELL	Yes	0.05	18	$0.91
19:42:00	BUY	Yes	0.06	18	$1.09
16:38:24	SELL	No	0.94	5	$4.99
15:47:24	SELL	No	0.94	3	$2.79
10:26:13	BUY	Yes	0.07	1,100	$77.00
08:43:00	SELL	No	0.94	50	$47.00
20:02:34	BUY	Yes	0.07	5	$0.35
19:17:30	BUY	Yes	0.07	1,429	$100.00
19:01:45	BUY	Yes	0.06	5	$0.31
16:36:58	BUY	Yes	0.06	5	$0.30
16:01:40	BUY	Yes	0.07	5	$0.35
08:18:46	BUY	No	0.9420238837	106	$100.00
08:18:42	BUY	No	0.9399999996	106	$100.00
21:46:25	SELL	No	0.93	5	$4.65
09:44:19	BUY	No	0.94	5	$4.70
09:44:16	BUY	No	0.94	157	$147.58
03:00:33	SELL	No	0.93	10	$9.30
18:35:03	SELL	No	0.93	473	$440.07
18:19:49	BUY	No	0.94	30	$28.20
14:53:55	BUY	No	0.94	4,995	$4695.72
03:01:13	SELL	No	0.93	10	$9.73
23:21:54	BUY	No	0.94	17	$15.93
08:14:58	BUY	No	0.9399999996	106	$100.00