PolyBot

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Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.032. up 0.003 over the period, from 0.029. Range 0.026 to 0.061. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0581313
0.1251225
0.1343055
0.1353186
0.152710796
0.15325821
0.15595916
0.1572301,146
0.158601,206
0.160601,266
0.162831,349
0.163401,389

Spread0.050Mid0.033

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.008150150
0.00745195
0.00543238
0.00454292
0.001429721

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.992150150
0.99345195
0.99543238
0.99654292
0.999429721

Spread0.050Mid0.967

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9421313
0.8751225
0.8663055
0.8653186
0.848710796
0.84725821
0.84595916
0.8432301,146
0.842601,206
0.840601,266
0.838831,349
0.837401,389

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50ABYes2,803.83
Dr.PNLYes328.42
0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616Yes199.99
2B9SYes168.43
xtxpleasecallmeYes156.97
animal.beanYes155.52
awgraewrfaYes149.99
liq2Yes128
aHjCzYes114.1
S.CooperYes110.65
human.beanYes64.56
15robYes62.14
ArealgoodYes40.87
rx78Yes40
0x71ac…e8e5Yes40
luckystone315Yes35
GamiolasYes30.81
zo8w3jj69vtb2Yes30
sleepymonkeyYes26.1
LornaPredictsYes25.19

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:36:03BUYYes0.065$0.30
21:17:24SELLYes0.0165$0.08
18:36:29SELLNo0.9395$4.69
10:01:05SELLNo0.9225$4.61
07:38:18BUYYes0.05399740$2.16
16:42:27BUYYes0.05317$0.90
20:59:24SELLYes0.00517$0.09
12:09:56SELLYes0.0457$0.34
12:09:54SELLYes0.04530$1.35
09:42:17SELLYes0.04621$0.96
09:39:30BUYYes0.047999998725$1.18
09:39:29BUYYes0.048165$7.92
07:29:41SELLYes0.05240$2.09
07:27:08SELLNo0.940235181626$24.59
07:23:03BUYYes0.07220$1.44
07:22:56BUYYes0.071002935120$1.41
07:22:56BUYYes0.048360$17.30
07:22:56BUYYes0.05360$3.18
07:22:56BUYYes0.0586120$7.03
07:22:56BUYYes0.051999998326$1.36
19:03:06BUYYes0.07718$1.35
19:00:33SELLNo0.92330$27.69
09:05:20BUYYes0.09620$1.92
09:02:44BUYYes0.08440$3.36
08:58:10SELLNo0.88220$17.64