PolyBot

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Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.034. Unchanged over the period, from 0.034. Range 0.033 to 0.034. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.040179179
0.04137217
0.04310227
0.044114340
0.231195535
0.23225560
0.23325585
0.23425610
0.2365615
0.5984001,015
0.59951,020
0.6012401,260

Spread0.012Mid0.034

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.028116116
0.00563179
0.004114293
0.003160453
0.002216669
0.001223891

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.972116116
0.99563179
0.996114293
0.997160453
0.998216669
0.999223891

Spread0.012Mid0.966

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.960179179
0.95937217
0.95710227
0.956114340
0.769195535
0.76825560
0.76725585
0.76625610
0.7645615
0.4024001,015
0.40151,020
0.3992401,260

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50ABYes2,803.83
0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616Yes199.99
Dr.PNLYes194.88
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes179.19
2B9SYes168.43
animal.beanYes155.52
cry.eth2Yes149.99
pootytherewardfarmerYes95
human.beanYes64.56
15robYes62.14
rx78Yes40
luckystone315Yes35
GamiolasYes30.81
0x7009…390aYes30
AJSVYes28.37
sleepymonkeyYes26.1
a5tthsyuo3cYes24.84
SwissTac0Yes20
98132wxcYes19.99
galhammermanYes19.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:48:34SELLNo0.9615$14.40
02:50:28SELLYes0.02815$0.42
05:53:19BUYYes0.036999969731$1.14
02:44:37SELLNo0.962$1.48
22:26:42BUYNo0.97213$12.79
22:26:40BUYNo0.97221$20.41
22:26:40BUYNo0.9719998862$1.50
22:26:40BUYNo0.97230$29.16
22:26:39BUYNo0.9728$7.50
22:26:39BUYNo0.97210$9.72
09:38:37SELLYes0.02820$0.56
05:57:21SELLNo0.9511$0.97
07:29:07BUYNo0.97199955291$1.00
06:57:04SELLYes0.0940$3.60
11:57:13SELLYes0.03120$0.62
11:57:09SELLYes0.03120$0.62
11:51:33SELLYes0.05280$4.16
03:59:18SELLYes0.02320$0.46
09:38:12BUYNo0.920$18.00
09:36:46SELLYes0.02310$0.23
09:30:19SELLYes0.0381$0.03
09:30:13SELLYes0.03810$0.38
09:00:19SELLYes0.0246$0.16
03:15:15BUYNo0.97810$9.78
01:15:00BUYNo0.9795$4.89