sleepymonkey
0xce4d7123b294829c505302800fc7bc0590b3d0e2
- Realised P&L
- $-6.4k
- Volume
- $881.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,230
- Open portfolio
- $23.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,230
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$576.00at 0.280Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$570.13at 0.016Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
- +$521.40at 0.131Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$384.88at 0.646US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$317.90at 0.692Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 15:15 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-13 10:12 | Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 09-13 09:10 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-13 08:38 | Will Rogerio Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 09-13 06:51 | Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | BUY | 0.5160784314 | $78.96 |
| 09-13 06:44 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-12 16:50 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-12 09:55 | Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.96 |
| 09-12 09:48 | Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | BUY | 0.801 | $53.38 |
| 09-12 09:48 | Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | BUY | 0.8 | $53.10 |
| 09-12 09:10 | Will Rigotto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | BUY | 0.75 | $73.30 |
| 09-12 09:03 | Will Delegado André David win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? | BUY | 0.7559669047 | $106.90 |
| 09-12 08:59 | Will Marília Arraes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | BUY | 0.815 | $58.63 |
| 09-11 17:04 | Will Eric Girard win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.97 |
| 09-11 11:15 | Will Dr. Zacharias Calil win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? | BUY | 0.0481387333 | $14.44 |