0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616
0x39aaed185b92e99a78249610cc14a589b764583c
- Realised P&L
- $70.6k
- Volume
- $17.99M
- Markets traded
- 17,236
- Open portfolio
- $12.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17,236
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.0kat 0.286Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$45.6kat 0.035Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$15.7kat 0.256Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$15.4kat 0.155Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$15.1kat 0.280Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4 | $11.96 |
| 09-17 01:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.7 | $20.93 |
| 09-17 01:45 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $26.31 |
| 09-17 01:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.11 | $0.33 |
| 09-17 01:35 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.875 | $2.66 |
| 09-17 01:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4 | $1.22 |
| 09-17 01:00 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.875 | $3.50 |
| 09-17 01:00 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.11 | $0.44 |
| 09-17 01:00 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4 | $1.60 |
| 09-17 00:44 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $17.95 |
| 09-17 00:43 | Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $460.72 |
| 09-17 00:19 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.7 | $6.71 |
| 09-17 00:19 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.876 | $8.39 |
| 09-17 00:19 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4 | $3.83 |
| 09-16 08:46 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.42 | $17.72 |