PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Gamiolas

0x7b3794895bc20b6eff13bd8c4bb53367dcd005e3

Realised P&L
$-130.66
Volume
$28.8k
Markets traded
1,195
Open portfolio
$63.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,195
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.9500.917$27.55−$0.98
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.7990.804$16.08+$0.10
Will the PCQ win 14-16 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.1400.375$6.00+$3.76
Will the PCQ win 17 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.2000.363$5.82+$2.62
Will the PCQ win 11-13 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.1700.160$2.56−$0.16
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.0370.061$1.88+$0.74
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.0970.078$1.56−$0.38
Will the PCQ win 5-7 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.1300.098$1.56−$0.52
Will the PCQ win 8-10 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.1700.042$0.66−$2.06
Will the PCQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.1200.001$0.01−$1.91
Will FC Twente win on 2026-09-20? · No0.8800.000$0.00−$5.72
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Neither team to score first? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00−$2.10
Will IFK Mariehamn win on 2026-07-25? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$3.24
Will Mexico vs. Peru end in a draw? · No0.7800.000$0.00−$16.38
Will Bulgaria vs. Estonia end in a draw? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$5.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 22:46Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-10-05?SELL0.63$7.79
10-05 22:46Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.6499999879$8.04
10-05 22:41Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Platense end in a draw?SELL0.62$8.06
10-05 22:41Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Platense end in a draw?BUY0.66$8.58
10-05 20:31France vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5BUY0.02$1.00
10-05 20:23Will France win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.12$2.40
10-05 20:23Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Belgium?BUY0.52$10.40
10-05 20:23France vs. Belgium: France O/U 2.5BUY0.2810859017$5.72
10-05 20:20Exact Score: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 - 0 Poland?BUY0.29$1.45
10-05 20:20Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.3299999456$1.70
10-05 20:20Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5BUY0.2029999705$1.10
10-05 20:20France vs. Belgium: France O/U 1.5BUY0.44$11.00
10-05 20:20France vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5BUY0.02$1.00
10-05 20:20Will France win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.35$8.75
10-05 20:20Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Belgium?BUY0.0899999993$2.50