PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zo8w3jj69vtb2

0xc0565b0f3e0cf08d3ba0fbc44423e0eaef817126

Realised P&L
$-62.61
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$5.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.5570.863$279.17+$98.69
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.8250.945$254.63+$32.45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6340.825$180.74+$41.91
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.7930.945$148.88+$23.99
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8410.974$147.86+$20.08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9000.982$145.46+$12.02
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9700.985$125.72+$1.94
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.5000.953$114.30+$54.30
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.5001.000$108.42+$54.21
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8790.945$103.08+$7.24
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6720.735$100.56+$8.54
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.5010.135$80.34−$217.59
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8280.971$75.44+$11.15
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.0770.997$69.99+$64.56
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.5000.975$58.47+$28.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-18 13:26LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group ABUY0.15$4.50
03-18 12:28High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 164.5BUY0.5$5.30
03-18 05:28Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)BUY0.5$3.11
03-18 05:28Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)BUY0.5$17.87
03-18 02:42Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$0.87
03-17 20:35Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.2534026341$2.69
03-17 18:16LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group ABUY0.19$1.63
03-17 18:15LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group ABUY0.19$31.44
03-17 03:30Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.57$3.00
03-16 13:59LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ABUY0.17$4.44
03-16 13:59LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ABUY0.17$1.62
03-16 12:41LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ASELL0.34$2.97
03-16 12:29LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ASELL0.34$3.64
03-16 12:29LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ASELL0.34$3.97
03-16 11:13LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ABUY0.33$7.88