0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB
0x9a46375a768cd76c06b5eee2d1005eef16061d99
- Realised P&L
- $-11.20
- Volume
- $458.35
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.042Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?
- +$714.55at 0.095Will Club Aurora win on 2026-06-12?
- +$697.25at 0.106Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 29?
- +$679.01at 0.288Will Robert Andrich record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
- +$450.86at 0.128Will "Schmigadoon!" win Best Book of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 17:16 | Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | SELL | 0.868 | $217.55 |
| 07-11 18:38 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.178 | $1.07 |
| 07-11 18:38 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.178 | $1.07 |
| 07-11 18:38 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.178 | $1.07 |
| 07-11 18:38 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.178 | $1.07 |
| 07-11 18:38 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.178 | $1.07 |
| 07-11 18:37 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.178 | $1.07 |
| 07-11 18:37 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.178 | $1.07 |
| 07-11 18:36 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.178 | $1.07 |
| 07-11 18:36 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.178 | $1.07 |
| 07-11 18:31 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0540909091 | $1.19 |
| 07-11 18:31 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.10 |
| 07-11 18:31 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0493168182 | $1.08 |
| 05-28 12:16 | Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.9621162791 | $41.37 |
| 05-28 12:15 | Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters? | SELL | 0.983 | $86.23 |