PolyBot

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Traders

0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB

0x9a46375a768cd76c06b5eee2d1005eef16061d99

Realised P&L
$-11.20
Volume
$458.35
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.0580.966$2.6k+$2.5k
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.0450.033$92.53$34.80
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1410.345$40.37+$23.89
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.0080.868$17.50+$17.33
Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? · Yes0.0100.381$12.59+$12.26
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3540.653$9.80+$4.48
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0460.168$6.99+$5.08
Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026? · Yes0.7300.165$6.72$23.02
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5300.580$5.80+$0.50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.7900.935$4.67+$0.72
Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores? · Yes0.1800.445$4.45+$2.65
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes0.4600.855$4.28+$1.98
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.1550.375$3.75+$2.20
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.0140.097$3.14+$2.69
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? · Yes0.0430.308$3.08+$2.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 17:16Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?SELL0.868$217.55
07-11 18:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.178$1.07
07-11 18:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.178$1.07
07-11 18:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.178$1.07
07-11 18:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.178$1.07
07-11 18:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.178$1.07
07-11 18:37Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.178$1.07
07-11 18:37Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.178$1.07
07-11 18:36Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.178$1.07
07-11 18:36Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.178$1.07
07-11 18:31Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.0540909091$1.19
07-11 18:31Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.05$1.10
07-11 18:31Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.0493168182$1.08
05-28 12:16Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?SELL0.9621162791$41.37
05-28 12:15Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?SELL0.983$86.23