PolyBot

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Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-11-07

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.005. Range 0.004 to 0.005. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0056,0296,029
0.0068,45614,485
0.00736,40750,892
0.008920,945971,837
0.009400,8431,372,680
0.01020,9871,393,667
0.0121251,393,792
0.0172,5521,396,344
0.018337,9171,734,261
0.193401,734,301
0.194551,734,356
0.2031001,734,456

Spread0.001Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.004122122
0.0036,0236,145
0.00215,26721,412
0.00178,776100,188

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.996122122
0.9976,0236,145
0.99815,26721,412
0.99978,776100,188

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9956,0296,029
0.9948,45614,485
0.99336,40750,892
0.992920,945971,837
0.991400,8431,372,680
0.99020,9871,393,667
0.9881251,393,792
0.9832,5521,396,344
0.982337,9171,734,261
0.807401,734,301
0.806551,734,356
0.7971001,734,456

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
pizzabillgatesYes1,638,333.46
BrokieYes319,000
Forrester26Yes59,777.99
AnonymousUsernameYes56,139.66
11122Yes52,801.75
paddaaYes51,666.67
MaxEntYes50,000
JeremYYes40,000
HaradwaithYes32,178.63
2B9SYes25,000
BondoooorYes22,999.85
0x36F875603BFB9464d6a0d92c26202d9f976BDd6a-1764006320579Yes16,060.21
XiraxYes13,924.37
ArchBishopSusanYes12,899.06
cigarettesYes12,692.16
hoseYes10,714.29
garbagefriendsYes9,006.31
HerrieDavisYes8,899.81
NoSteinNoGateYes8,645.39
38327832383823Yes7,855.76

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:29:58SELLYes0.00451$0.20
16:09:22SELLNo0.9950$0.38
15:54:46SELLNo0.9950$0.12
15:54:39SELLNo0.9950$0.44
15:54:21SELLNo0.9954$3.69
15:47:34BUYNo0.9962$2.35
15:46:19BUYNo0.9962$2.35
11:20:58SELLNo0.9952$2.20
11:16:48SELLNo0.9950$0.23
11:16:42SELLNo0.9951$0.83
11:14:52BUYNo0.996150$149.40
11:14:33BUYNo0.9959997032$2.20
11:10:06BUYNo0.99599909041$1.06
08:21:31SELLNo0.9950$0.17
08:21:16SELLNo0.9950$0.46
07:52:39SELLNo0.9951$0.54
07:47:28BUYNo0.99599984931$1.11
07:06:09SELLNo0.9950$0.22
07:06:03SELLNo0.9951$0.79
06:59:49BUYNo0.99599907171$1.00
23:27:55SELLNo0.9950$0.40
23:01:25SELLNo0.9950$0.13
23:00:58SELLNo0.9950$0.17
22:41:37SELLNo0.9950$0.39
22:26:10SELLNo0.9950$0.05