PolyBot

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Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-11-08

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.004 to 0.004. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00419,98119,981
0.00558,43578,416
0.00623,199101,615
0.00750,403152,018
0.008905,5041,057,522
0.009395,1051,452,627
0.01013,5391,466,166
0.0121251,466,291
0.0172,5521,468,843
0.018337,9171,806,760
0.150121,806,772
0.200131,806,785

Spread0.001Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00321,32821,328
0.00228,05049,378
0.001152,816202,194

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99721,32821,328
0.99828,05049,378
0.999152,816202,194

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99619,98119,981
0.99558,43578,416
0.99423,199101,615
0.99350,403152,018
0.992905,5041,057,522
0.991395,1051,452,627
0.99013,5391,466,166
0.9881251,466,291
0.9832,5521,468,843
0.982337,9171,806,760
0.850121,806,772
0.800131,806,785

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
pizzabillgatesYes1,638,333.46
BrokieYes319,000
Forrester26Yes59,777.99
AnonymousUsernameYes56,139.66
paddaaYes51,666.67
11122Yes47,801.75
MaxEntYes45,791.39
JeremYYes40,000
0x36F875603BFB9464d6a0d92c26202d9f976BDd6a-1764006320579Yes32,741.76
HaradwaithYes30,398.45
2B9SYes25,000
tugatorYes24,440.37
BondoooorYes22,999.85
XiraxYes13,924.37
ArchBishopSusanYes12,899.06
cigarettesYes12,692.16
hoseYes10,714.29
garbagefriendsYes9,006.31
NoSteinNoGateYes8,645.39
donthackmeYes7,772.65

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:21:09BUYNo0.99797$96.71
18:12:37BUYNo0.99795$94.72
17:48:24BUYNo0.99760$59.82
17:40:18BUYYes0.004256$1.02
15:53:15SELLNo0.99610$9.69
19:56:55SELLNo0.9960$0.27
19:51:31SELLNo0.9960$0.17
19:51:24SELLNo0.9961$0.59
19:47:12BUYNo0.9971$1.00
19:44:55SELLNo0.9968$8.20
19:06:37SELLNo0.9961$0.93
19:02:12BUYNo0.9971$1.00
17:03:09SELLNo0.9961$1.35
16:58:46BUYNo0.99699999851$1.32
15:06:37SELLNo0.9960$0.06
15:06:30SELLNo0.9960$0.22
15:06:22SELLNo0.9961$0.79
15:02:16BUYNo0.99699999911$1.13
07:04:49SELLNo0.9967$6.69
06:10:37SELLNo0.9960$0.17
06:01:03SELLNo0.9960$0.07
06:00:46SELLNo0.9961$0.84
05:56:42BUYNo0.9971$1.00
03:43:28SELLNo0.9962$1.67
03:39:10BUYNo0.9972$1.68